NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7712b6e2079f7242194fd65d7fba036a3d9d6eb67ddbe4ad48cdc5e470a306af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49ee…7afebacked Over | 47c | 24,700$11,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,090.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…563abacked Under | 53c | 22,700$12,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,031 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Under | 52c | 7,720$4,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,014.24 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 54c | 4,081$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.04 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Under | 52c | 2,717$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf932…f8fabacked Over | 48c | 2,481$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5a…e782backed Over | 48c | 2,107$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…7098backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91c1…8522backed Over | 48c | 1,786$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…0e57backed Under | 52c | 1,685$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 48c | 1,545$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.4 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 1,474$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.48 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 55c | 1,436$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.15 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 46c | 1,350$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…f683backed Under | 52c | 1,295$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 45c | 1,173$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.92 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…e4f5backed Under | 52c | 1,043$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…8f26backed Under | 52c | 812$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a9…197bbacked Under | 52c | 796$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…fa5ebacked Over | 48c | 765$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3118…0375backed Under | 52c | 743$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…7497backed Under | 52c | 630$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 474$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.48 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Over | 46c | 472.5$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.15 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 53c | 366.8$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…1fccbacked Over | 48c | 351$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Over | 45c | 332.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.78 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27eb…1cf4backed Under | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…88f8backed Under | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…5c4bbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…cb66backed Under | 52c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…3251backed Under | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 53c | 51.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…0b8dbacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5this page
- Bruins vs. IslandersBruins won
- Bruins vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.