NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f4327845223a7750cbcd7328a5393684d8c316db0dbcb6c44620b40f6b9ffb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Flames, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $751,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $942,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $751,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Senators | 62c | 140,419$87,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,359.22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Flames | 38c | 115,157$43,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,759.74 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Senators | 62c | 59,625$37,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,601.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flames | 38c | 50,762$19,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,434.11 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Flames | 39c | 40,626$15,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,855.6 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Senators | 62c | 36,422$22,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,840.27 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Flames | 39c | 34,399$13,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,415.56 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Flames | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Flames | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.83 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Senators | 61c | 23,098$14,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,008.14 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Senators | 61c | 22,777$13,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,946.4 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1754…2d7ebacked Senators | 50c | 15,200$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…b8f2backed Flames | 50c | 15,200$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Senators | 61c | 15,139$9,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,904.11 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Flames | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 59c | 14,147$8,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,366.82 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flames | 39c | 10,921$4,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.13 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Flames | 37c | 8,669$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.38 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Flames | 37c | 8,550$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.44 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Flames | 38c | 8,449$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,218.31 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Senators | 38c | 7,784$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,843.24 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Senators | 62c | 6,450$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Flames | 39c | 6,434$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flames | 39c | 6,333$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.96 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Flames | 37c | 5,084$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.01 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Flames | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Flames | 39c | 3,500$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…e01fbacked Senators | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…b145backed Senators | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Senators | 61c | 3,278$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.37 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Flames | 38c | 3,196$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.64 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Senators | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…90ccbacked Flames | 38c | 2,700$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Senators | 53c | 2,652$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.85 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 38c | 2,611$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.15 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flames | 37c | 2,164$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.87 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Flames | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flames | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Flames | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Senators | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Flames | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Senators | 42c | 1,999$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.42 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Flames | 39c | 1,632$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.48 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Senators | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…e5b5backed Flames | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Flames | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 56c | 1,359$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.6 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Flames | 38c | 1,333$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.54 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Senators | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Flames | 38c | 1,250$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…4991backed Senators | 61c | 1,226$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…b5e5backed Senators | 64c | 1,206$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Flames | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.99 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…489cbacked Flames | 80c | 1,170$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Flames | 38c | 1,134$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.92 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Senators | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flames | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Flames | 39c | 1,107$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.59 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Flames | 67c | 1,096$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.32 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flames | 39c | 1,061$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.98 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Senators | 33c | 1,040$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.78 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…1781backed Senators | 61c | 1,006$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…f25cbacked Flames | 40c | 1,005$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Flames | 39c | 1,000$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Flames | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flames | 39c | 999.95$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Flames | 36c | 979.89$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.76 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Senators | 61c | 943$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.77 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flames | 38c | 921$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flames | 38c | 887$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.06 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…ee6cbacked Senators | 61c | 850$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flames | 39c | 821.98$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.35 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Senators | 33c | 817.81$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.02 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d96…7115backed Flames | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Senators | 61c | 797$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.83 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Senators | 61c | 747$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.33 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…3582backed Senators | 61c | 707.72$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.01 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…e78cbacked Flames | 40c | 707.58$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.03 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Flames | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b01…0aa5backed Senators | 44c | 683.09$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Flames | 39c | 665$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.35 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242d…603abacked Flames | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Senators | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Senators | 40c | 584.2$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.17 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flames | 47c | 570.9$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.16 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…047abacked Senators | 61c | 550$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c07…3812backed Flames | 40c | 550$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Flames | 38c | 547.07$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.89 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Senators | 61c | 536$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.04 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…90d0backed Senators | 58c | 515.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.98 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Flames | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 43c | 493.63$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.21 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Senators | 61c | 457.38$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.38 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -15.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…5c6bbacked Senators | 45c | 411.79$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Senators | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…f634backed Senators | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…ce49backed Flames | 78c | 385.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Senators | 61c | 382.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Senatorsthis page
- Flames vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flames vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.