TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb00b…e78c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$171
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$37.47
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$31.52
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$328.7
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$157.78
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$85.17
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.38
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$69.33
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$121.35
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$285.58
Kings vs. Lightningbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+177.8%+$374.77
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+58.7%+$78
Sabres vs. Flyersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$101
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$119.03
Wild vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$388.77
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+150%+$342.24
Blues vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$109.16
Blue Jackets vs. Flamesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$181.59
Blues vs. Capitalsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$232.48
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$93
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$87.32
Utah vs. Sabresbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$97.84
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.07
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$29.98
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$36.4
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$242.58
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$252.26
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$100.09
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$213.2
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$130.03
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$83.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2024, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$145.91
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+40.8%+$42.32
Cardinals vs. Vikingsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$80.17
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+177.8%+$98.47
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-1.5)backed CA Central Córdoba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Randers FC (-2.5)backed Randers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Drita (-2.5)backed FC Drita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Lynxbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Padres vs. Philliesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.