NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6884a9043480dab1d5cfece2fc0fee55649b092bda19d6aeb80093885b271fc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Blues, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $413,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Blues | 21c | 120,000$24,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,899.94 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Blues | 0c | 40,211$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Blues | 43c | 30,503$13,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,116.31 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Capitals | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,750 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Blues | 43c | 17,076$7,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,366.1 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Capitals | 58c | 15,650$9,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,573 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Capitals | 74c | 15,190$11,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.44 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Blues | 0c | 12,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Capitals | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Blues | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.96 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Capitals | 58c | 8,720$5,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Blues | 42c | 8,180$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.93 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Blues | 43c | 7,742$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.89 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…f152backed Capitals | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 57c | 7,221$4,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.28 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blues | 0c | 7,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Capitals | 59c | 5,593$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Capitals | 58c | 5,500$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Blues | 42c | 5,500$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Capitals | 58c | 5,293$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.87 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Capitals | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Capitals | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Blues | 43c | 4,803$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.29 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blues | 42c | 4,342$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.44 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Capitals | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.34 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00c…bb58backed Capitals | 58c | 3,621$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Capitals | 56c | 3,557$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.2 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Blues | 42c | 3,303$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.98 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Blues | 42c | 3,222$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.24 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Capitals | 58c | 3,100$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Capitals | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Blues | 43c | 2,991$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.22 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Blues | 0c | 2,700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…e04cbacked Blues | 43c | 2,558$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Capitals | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb3…b7febacked Capitals | 57c | 2,395$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.78 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blues | 43c | 2,331$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.33 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Capitals | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…2c46backed Capitals | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Blues | 19c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Blues | 41c | 1,906$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.43 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Capitals | 56c | 1,750$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Blues | 43c | 1,750$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Blues | 43c | 1,630$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.9 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Capitals | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ec…faf4backed Capitals | 59c | 1,429$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457d…5049backed Blues | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 74c | 1,384$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.76 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Capitals | 58c | 1,309$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.55 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blues | 26c | 1,260$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.14 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Capitals | 58c | 1,208$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.36 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Capitals | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78f…0463backed Capitals | 59c | 1,181$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d96…0b38backed Blues | 42c | 1,181$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Capitals | 57c | 1,163$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.09 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Capitals | 57c | 1,137$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.91 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Blues | 42c | 1,112$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.04 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…b268backed Blues | 43c | 1,065$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Capitals | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Capitals | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.01 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…26aabacked Capitals | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…88f2backed Capitals | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…f218backed Blues | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Blues | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…a074backed Blues | 43c | 995$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Capitals | 58c | 982.76$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.76 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blues | 42c | 964.54$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.11 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…6cedbacked Blues | 44c | 953.16$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d5…9417backed Capitals | 57c | 953.16$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.86 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blues | 27c | 930.44$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.07 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0a…7bc7backed Capitals | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd548…e622backed Blues | 42c | 847$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Capitals | 57c | 784.06$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.63 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Capitals | 56c | 705.89$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.59 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Capitals | 57c | 699$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Capitals | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…8713backed Blues | 44c | 643.45$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.12 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…dbc5backed Capitals | 57c | 643.45$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.68 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…6c54backed Capitals | 58c | 541.38$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.38 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…e78cbacked Blues | 43c | 540.65$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.48 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Capitals | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…d648backed Capitals | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Capitals | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Blues | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…731ebacked Blues | 44c | 477.27$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…6dffbacked Capitals | 57c | 476.45$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.31 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Capitals | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Blues | 43c | 378.41$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.72 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…d167backed Capitals | 58c | 377.59$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.59 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…8c93backed Capitals | 58c | 370.69$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…0ff1backed Blues | 42c | 370$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Capitals | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Capitals | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Capitals | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Capitals | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Capitals | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Blues | 44c | 341.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…5ab5backed Blues | 43c | 339.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Capitals | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Capitalsthis page
- Blues vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blues vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.