Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x010ea6780c7aed745c59754a8cb1c15a0bc9b30bbafd0ad69440d75eb10569aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Grazof Fenerbahçe SK, SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9030…4a23backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 76c | 7,155$5,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Fenerbahçe SK | 36c | 5,319$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.45 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 59c | 4,776$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.34 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Fenerbahçe SK | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fenerbahçe SK | 45c | 1,605$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.94 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc73…d984backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 25c | 745.46$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.89 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Fenerbahçe SK | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 50c | 599.98$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.99 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 25c | 512$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Fenerbahçe SK | 24c | 503.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Fenerbahçe SK | 30c | 386.67$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 70c | 371.43$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 68c | 339.11$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.11 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 29c | 334$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 26c | 320$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Fenerbahçe SK | 24c | 312$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked Fenerbahçe SK | 55c | 305.8$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 61c | 286.92$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 58c | 254.29$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 50c | 253$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…cee1backed Fenerbahçe SK | 40c | 252.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 67c | 240.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 56c | 222.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fenerbahçe SK | 32c | 200.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Fenerbahçe SK | 29c | 178.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 72c | 156.92$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 65c | 150.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fenerbahçe SK | 29c | 143.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Fenerbahçe SK | 54c | 138.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 71c | 118.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 76c | 113.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Fenerbahçe SK | 19c | 107.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 52c | 91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…003dbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 70c | 87.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 55c | 87.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Fenerbahçe SK | 25c | 78.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 26c | 69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Fenerbahçe SK | 28c | 68.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Fenerbahçe SK | 33c | 68.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 64c | 61.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 48c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…e78cbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 26c | 51.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 45c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 57c | 46.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 70c | 44.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Fenerbahçe SK | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 60c | 43.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Fenerbahçe SK | 27c | 41.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 71c | 40.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40dc…563dbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Fenerbahçe SK | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Fenerbahçe SK | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 46c | 35.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fenerbahçe SK | 46c | 35.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 56c | 29.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 74c | 28.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…7d58backed Fenerbahçe SK | 36c | 28.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…4e38backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…5d15backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 61c | 25.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…d91bbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 72c | 19.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 0.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 2.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 5.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 0.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 1.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.