Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Randers FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd18cf9cf55753cb6413ba12c1322ac18ecc41da5dcdd22fac8d287efd5f7c24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Silkeborg IFof Randers FC, Silkeborg IF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Randers FC | 21c | 2,811$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.95 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Randers FC | 8c | 510$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Silkeborg IF | 79c | 324.61$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Randers FC | 20c | 178.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Silkeborg IF | 80c | 138.85$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Silkeborg IF | 80c | 138.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Randers FC | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…e78cbacked Randers FC | 17c | 123.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Randers FC | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Randers FC | 29c | 89.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Randers FC | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Randers FC | 25c | 58.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Silkeborg IF | 80c | 55.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Silkeborg IF | 74c | 25.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Silkeborg IF | 74c | 25.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Silkeborg IF | 77c | 20.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Randers FC (-2.5)this page
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: Randers FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: Silkeborg IF O/U 1.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: Silkeborg IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Randers FC (-1.5)Silkeborg IF won
- Spread: Silkeborg IF (-1.5)Randers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.