Other European Leagues · resolved market
Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a102d208bc0d104eea8ca4dee74fdca9115bd4cbb506dc953ceb54576f90683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 53c | 4,435$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.95 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 1,477$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.81 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 1,434$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.08 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 665.81$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 661.69$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.96 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Over | 40c | 199.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…1942backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 50c | 95.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 92.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 39c | 92.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 41c | 60.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +850.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 51c | 50.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 52c | 44.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 50c | 43.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 41.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 50c | 34.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 35c | 33.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 51c | 27.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 51c | 25.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Over | 51c | 23.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: Randers FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: Silkeborg IF O/U 1.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: Silkeborg IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Randers FC (-1.5)Silkeborg IF won
- Spread: Randers FC (-2.5)Silkeborg IF won
- Spread: Silkeborg IF (-1.5)Randers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.