Other European Leagues · resolved market
Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7b8fa55d541984f6d0d3495b33bddf7e0e1ea8f58e3ab662056da40dac6d732
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 15c | 8,273$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.38 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 27c | 1,627$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.81 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 24c | 1,496$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.97 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Under | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 71cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 1,028$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…0c5abacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 349.91$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 76c | 244.46$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 188.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Over | 21c | 178.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 76c | 134.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 76c | 134.91$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 78c | 108.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 23c | 90.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 18c | 88.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 19c | 68.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 76c | 62.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 76c | 54.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Under | 78c | 43.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Under | 80c | 36.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…b776backed Under | 76c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 76c | 21.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 76c | 20.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 4.5this page
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: Randers FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: Silkeborg IF O/U 1.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: Silkeborg IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Randers FC (-1.5)Silkeborg IF won
- Spread: Randers FC (-2.5)Silkeborg IF won
- Spread: Silkeborg IF (-1.5)Randers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.