Other European Leagues · resolved market
Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6655eb3b25286132ff91cd8c4416d4bc1963ccc6539a17838b30a39b056f34cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 4,752$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.78 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 60c | 3,889$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.77 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…2ff6backed Over | 62c | 3,715$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 68c | 3,651$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.29 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 2,746$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.95 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 38c | 1,463$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.32 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 38c | 1,315$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.3 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 66c | 1,285$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.15 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 1,224$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 60c | 1,173$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.99 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 38c | 1,010$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.76 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Under | 75c | 885.49$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 75c | 668.88$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 45c | 585.57$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.68 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 22c | 556.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.61 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 533.48$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.07 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 54c | 526.87$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.36 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…e4b2backed Over | 70c | 519.61$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 365.48$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.37 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 75c | 206.69$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.02 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 63c | 206.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 18c | 205.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.9 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 7c | 196.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Over | 63c | 180.2$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Under | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 38c | 146.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.54 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 38c | 146.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.54 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 47c | 145.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Under | 41c | 138.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 101.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 40c | 93.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 61c | 85.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Under | 45c | 83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Over | 63c | 79.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 40c | 75.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 40c | 68.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…0171backed Over | 59c | 67.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed Over | 59c | 65.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under | 34c | 59.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Over | 46c | 49.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b4…470dbacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 35c | 42.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Under | 55c | 42.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 34c | 35.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 65c | 29.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…68f9backed Over | 59c | 21.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 2.5this page
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: Randers FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: Silkeborg IF O/U 1.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: Silkeborg IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Randers FC (-1.5)Silkeborg IF won
- Spread: Randers FC (-2.5)Silkeborg IF won
- Spread: Silkeborg IF (-1.5)Randers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.