NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2e24ed43837c3c98f3dbc3fa0927f7bb12d5d5d0a52a65b4e0846812564b9c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Sabres, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Flyers | 45c | 75,037$33,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,307.82 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sabres | 50c | 40,437$20,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,218.37 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Flyers | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sabres | 56c | 26,784$14,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,928.13 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sabres | 52c | 17,614$9,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,072.05 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Sabres | 49c | 16,307$8,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,055.3 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Sabres | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Sabres | 55c | 11,349$6,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,241.95 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…38d8backed Sabres | 27c | 10,300$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa274…8068backed Flyers | 73c | 10,300$7,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Flyers | 49c | 10,132$4,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,142.11 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sabres | 55c | 10,000$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Flyers | 50c | 8,385$4,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 49c | 7,750$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.24 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Sabres | 55c | 7,272$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Flyers | 33c | 7,165$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,772.89 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sabres | 48c | 7,053$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.23 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Flyers | 45c | 6,933$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.29 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flyers | 54c | 6,246$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.09 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Flyers | 50c | 5,660$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.43 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Sabres | 36c | 5,584$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.54 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Flyers | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.98 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…c4cdbacked Flyers | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 53c | 4,246$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.52 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8f…1ee2backed Flyers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…ce0abacked Flyers | 48c | 4,000$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Sabres | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Flyers | 45c | 3,715$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Flyers | 45c | 3,600$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Sabres | 55c | 3,520$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Sabres | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.49 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…3d88backed Flyers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Sabres | 0c | 2,777$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers | 46c | 2,757$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.95 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Flyers | 44c | 2,700$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20c…952bbacked Sabres | 49c | 2,518$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Sabres | 55c | 2,389$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.07 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…0789backed Flyers | 45c | 2,270$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c5…07a9backed Sabres | 55c | 2,250$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.43per pick | 56cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…cb5ebacked Flyers | 52c | 2,158$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 64c | 2,111$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.23 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sabres | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Sabres | 57c | 2,000$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.74 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Flyers | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Flyers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers | 51c | 1,979$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.92 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724f…4c20backed Flyers | 45c | 1,810$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3950…a421backed Sabres | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Flyers | 45c | 1,639$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.38 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Flyers | 53c | 1,605$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.35 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Flyers | 49c | 1,551$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.13 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…7e63backed Sabres | 49c | 1,510$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb281…6073backed Flyers | 52c | 1,510$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Flyers | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flyers | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Flyers | 52c | 1,375$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabres | 53c | 1,284$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.94 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7b…5608backed Flyers | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa6…4979backed Sabres | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Flyers | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Flyers | 49c | 1,182$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.84 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sabres | 54c | 1,117$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.18 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flyers | 37c | 1,075$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Flyers | 48c | 999.95$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Sabres | 48c | 937.61$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.81 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Flyers | 51c | 923.74$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.97 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…b563backed Sabres | 51c | 921.57$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…6eb8backed Flyers | 50c | 920.84$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Flyers | 51c | 920.21$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.9 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Flyers | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flyers | 47c | 896.81$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.25 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…a6dcbacked Flyers | 52c | 850$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a78…30b6backed Sabres | 48c | 849.98$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 77c | 823.92$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flyers | 45c | 794$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.7 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Sabres | 52c | 790.38$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flyers | 59c | 725.39$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.94 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0752…afadbacked Flyers | 51c | 699.93$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sabres | 51c | 675$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.25 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Sabres | 51c | 671.99$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.71 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Sabres | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Flyers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cf…2061backed Flyers | 53c | 565.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…f821backed Sabres | 49c | 564.71$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sabres | 52c | 550$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.5 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c1…b4afbacked Flyers | 53c | 498.87$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.46 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Sabres | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres | 34c | 443.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.49 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…a59cbacked Sabres | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…1639backed Flyers | 50c | 394.82$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.41 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Flyers | 64c | 385.08$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.83 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…c771backed Flyers | 52c | 362.6$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Flyers | 49c | 346.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.12 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Flyers | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7043…daabbacked Sabres | 53c | 321$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Flyers | 44c | 319.97$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.18 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Flyers | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d4…bd47backed Flyers | 46c | 317.93$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Flyersthis page
- Sabres vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Flyers won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.