TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$644,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$680,540

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $644,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacb4…7595backed Bulls32c56,612$18,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,350.7912540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Suns49c46,562$22,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,685.3747656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Bulls36c43,150$15,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,681.6111834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked Suns62c35,251$21,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,516.817163.4%45 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Bulls24c30,503$7,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,276.534532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9406…a37ebacked Bulls36c24,982$9,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,04010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Bulls36c22,807$8,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,287.7477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls51c21,579$10,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,965.153,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Suns64c19,968$12,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,188.583652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Suns74c16,226$11,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,292.0536057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd87…f55ebacked Suns63c13,014$8,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,815.11757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Bulls10c12,100$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.8431935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Suns70c11,397$7,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.147848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Bulls37c8,563$3,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,165.258521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Suns65c8,224$5,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.3512663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Bulls36c7,878$2,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.11,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Suns51c7,000$3,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,42029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Bulls45c5,929$2,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,647.9161345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Suns64c4,696$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.4196447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf8…4d76backed Suns57c4,271$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+58.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls18c4,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Suns63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4807860.3%47 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Suns59c3,958$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.9463555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bulls36c3,055$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.1650245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bulls47c2,800$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.65,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Suns65c2,700$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9458167.9%55 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Bulls32c2,489$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.0870640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Suns65c2,406$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.1843653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…e4a7backed Suns66c2,399$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.492445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls36c2,050$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.991,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Suns70c2,008$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.6910058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Bulls35c2,007$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.3630440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Suns58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Suns63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7407953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Suns55c1,803$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.9310541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Bulls27c1,781$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.942218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78e3…532dbacked Bulls36c1,679$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.35520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Suns59c1,668$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.685347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4329…ba41backed Bulls37c1,498$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.19119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick40cpaid-76.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb9c3…daecbacked Bulls36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-57.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bulls37c1,285$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.361,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2440…bf2ebacked Suns75c1,250$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Suns70c1,201$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.2217256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Bulls35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Suns65c1,192$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.3119944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Bulls25c1,178$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3122430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d86…f0bbbacked Suns65c1,155$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.131435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Bulls52c1,125$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.556945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Bulls16c1,086$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5637011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc486…ab6fbacked Suns66c1,059$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.091040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Bulls36c1,040$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.418354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff47…4490backed Bulls36c1,014$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.22850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x484c…94d9backed Bulls1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Bulls18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18022939.7%91 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Bulls36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bulls57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Bulls15c984$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5619231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Bulls3c953.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.537502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Suns64c937.5$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.527546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x557b…3d48backed Suns65c923.08$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.081163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Bulls47c897.2$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.3836751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x358a…d45fbacked Suns79c875.99$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.1475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Bulls13c851.31$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59da…aaa5backed Suns64c833.31$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Bulls36c824$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2287647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Bulls32c813$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1614040%56 W · 84 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Bulls37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdadc…15fcbacked Bulls37c804.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006250%31 W · 31 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Bulls36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Bulls43c700$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Bulls15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Bulls37c699.77$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9117546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Bulls52c690.21$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.5870951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…fec8backed Suns73c667.71$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.281369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe353…5a51backed Bulls35c653.43$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Suns58c650.51$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.3620851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Suns64c648.18$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7747229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Bulls28c647.12$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7525851.6%133 W · 125 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Bulls31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011939.5%47 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Bulls16c644.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010246.1%47 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba95…908fbacked Bulls19c621.05$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00b…e78cbacked Suns65c609.15$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ba…ac5bbacked Suns65c608.35$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.921250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Bulls18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10868642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Bulls34c583.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Suns65c569.54$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.348856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Suns68c568.68$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.4836434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Bulls9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Suns65c545.52$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.938952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Bulls37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019038.4%73 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Bulls36c540$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19525833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Suns66c535.75$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7520153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80e4…5b88backed Suns65c525.55$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-55.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Suns64c521.75$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc53f…ebc2backed Suns65c507.24$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.53850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed Suns69c506.45$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1575156.9%29 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Bulls3c500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.934573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Suns54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23024855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d9…3bf4backed Bulls48c500$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2391163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.