NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51c7275498ea64937da9cc581806cbf6eb2a9a1b17577f471e8c5ec762b00405
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $365,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $382,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Ducks | 39c | 72,939$28,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,492.98 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Ducks | 39c | 45,948$17,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,028.47 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Stars | 61c | 45,237$27,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,728.95 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Stars | 61c | 31,000$18,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,910 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks | 32c | 30,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,549.98 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Stars | 61c | 29,325$17,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,888.23 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…f152backed Ducks | 39c | 22,500$8,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,724.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Ducks | 38c | 18,001$6,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,135.7 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ducks | 40c | 15,738$6,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,450.66 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Stars | 61c | 14,504$8,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,847.42 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Stars | 61c | 12,787$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800.07 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Stars | 61c | 12,725$7,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,762.03 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Stars | 76c | 10,994$8,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,355.27 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Ducks | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.99 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Stars | 61c | 9,000$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,490 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Ducks | 39c | 8,995$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,486.94 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Stars | 61c | 8,159$4,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,976.99 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Ducks | 38c | 8,102$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.35 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Stars | 62c | 8,058$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.96 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Stars | 45c | 7,530$3,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,371.63 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Stars | 61c | 6,910$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.93 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 60c | 6,340$3,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.98 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars | 61c | 6,268$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.49 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…7de9backed Ducks | 39c | 5,899$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 69c | 5,687$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.86 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Stars | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Stars | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.98 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Ducks | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.98 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Stars | 28c | 4,685$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Stars | 57c | 4,654$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.54 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…3b19backed Stars | 61c | 3,798$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…694cbacked Stars | 61c | 3,600$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Stars | 61c | 3,574$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 38c | 3,571$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.74 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Ducks | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Ducks | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Stars | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Stars | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Ducks | 39c | 2,800$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…5ea6backed Stars | 61c | 2,568$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Stars | 61c | 2,550$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.5 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Stars | 1c | 2,470$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Stars | 60c | 2,391$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.35 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Stars | 61c | 2,362$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.85 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…1cabbacked Stars | 61c | 2,220$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Stars | 61c | 2,100$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 39c | 2,063$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.98 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 62c | 2,037$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.38 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Stars | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Ducks | 38c | 1,998$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Ducks | 38c | 1,900$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stars | 63c | 1,891$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.41 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Ducks | 39c | 1,835$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.32 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Stars | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.79 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Stars | 76c | 1,410$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.93 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Stars | 62c | 1,297$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Stars | 60c | 1,252$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.65 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe30d…4bedbacked Ducks | 39c | 1,193$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab0…a159backed Stars | 61c | 1,121$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 61c | 1,117$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.37 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0a…7bc7backed Stars | 63c | 1,043$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd548…e622backed Ducks | 38c | 1,043$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Ducks | 53c | 1,017$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.25 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Ducks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Stars | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Stars | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed Ducks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Stars | 21c | 996.73$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.97 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Stars | 61c | 951$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.11 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…26c4backed Stars | 3c | 949.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Stars | 59c | 919$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.21 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Ducks | 45c | 889.77$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.77 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 62c | 869.68$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.43 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Stars | 7c | 861.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Ducks | 39c | 820.51$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.51 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Stars | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…b0dcbacked Stars | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Stars | 62c | 803.87$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.4 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78f…0463backed Ducks | 39c | 775.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Ducks | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d96…0b38backed Stars | 62c | 769$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.78 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Stars | 61c | 706.64$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.61 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…cdc5backed Stars | 61c | 624$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Ducks | 39c | 610$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.1 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Stars | 61c | 610$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.1 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 60c | 572.89$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.92 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc515…89efbacked Stars | 61c | 570.52$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…e78cbacked Ducks | 40c | 570.4$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.24 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars | 60c | 562$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.2 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Ducks | 38c | 557$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.35 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Ducks | 38c | 555$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.1 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Stars | 61c | 550$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ducks | 38c | 531.36$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.54 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Stars | 61c | 524.59$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…f2f4backed Stars | 62c | 520.85$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Stars | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Stars | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe769…6d8bbacked Stars | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Stars | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Starsthis page
- Ducks vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.