NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3df095cabb2677f740dae94de12599cd247be77b7f12634b9f4a711b68da4ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $601,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $640,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad16…e610backed Wizards | 33c | 70,007$23,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,102.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…bb5ebacked Bucks | 67c | 70,000$46,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks | 66c | 60,274$39,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,627.88 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Wizards | 25c | 45,135$11,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,230.8 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Wizards | 33c | 24,570$8,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,029.93 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 28c | 14,977$4,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,167.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bucks | 69c | 13,519$9,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190.84 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Bucks | 45c | 13,307$5,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,374.83 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Wizards | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Wizards | 62c | 10,882$6,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,735.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Wizards | 34c | 10,571$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.73 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 70c | 10,461$7,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.01 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Wizards | 27c | 9,548$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.55 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Wizards | 33c | 8,109$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.38 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Wizards | 39c | 7,739$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.02 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Bucks | 69c | 7,100$4,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Wizards | 28c | 6,920$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.43 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bucks | 46c | 6,881$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.49 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 6c | 6,638$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.6 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Wizards | 53c | 6,077$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.98 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bucks | 68c | 5,345$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.32 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Wizards | 33c | 5,296$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.63 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 33c | 5,150$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.96 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Wizards | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Bucks | 67c | 4,827$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.76 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Bucks | 75c | 4,736$3,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.05 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards | 14c | 4,693$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.61 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Bucks | 66c | 4,536$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.07 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 36c | 4,009$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.54 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wizards | 33c | 3,964$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.13 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 30c | 3,107$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.63 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Wizards | 34c | 3,075$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.38 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bucks | 68c | 3,062$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.69 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Bucks | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Wizards | 34c | 2,421$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.09 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 17c | 2,359$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.29 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Wizards | 28c | 2,300$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.04 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Bucks | 68c | 2,213$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.8 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Wizards | 33c | 2,069$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.72 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bucks | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bc…f729backed Bucks | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…da1abacked Wizards | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.92 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Bucks | 60c | 1,894$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.01 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Bucks | 68c | 1,761$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.3 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e62…ec52backed Bucks | 67c | 1,735$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…c62fbacked Wizards | 32c | 1,678$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Bucks | 60c | 1,650$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 54c | 1,500$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.98 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wizards | 26c | 1,202$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.11 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Wizards | 63c | 1,198$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wizards | 31c | 1,162$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.94 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 1c | 1,137$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 2c | 1,133$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2440…bf2ebacked Wizards | 62c | 1,100$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3495…dca1backed Bucks | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wizards | 31c | 1,096$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.5 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Bucks | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Bucks | 71c | 1,001$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Bucks | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bucks | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Bucks | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucks | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Wizards | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…79aebacked Wizards | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6de1…e4a4backed Bucks | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Wizards | 53c | 999.96$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.98 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Wizards | 29c | 999.96$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc04d…69e7backed Bucks | 76c | 975.06$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…91c8backed Bucks | 67c | 925.37$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 66c | 910.24$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.2 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Wizards | 9c | 907.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bucks | 52c | 900$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…099fbacked Bucks | 78c | 888$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Bucks | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Bucks | 76c | 860.47$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.74 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Wizards | 19c | 850.07$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.84 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Wizards | 1c | 849.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 69c | 799.9$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.94 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…43a5backed Bucks | 69c | 767$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.77 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Bucks | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Bucks | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…d1a2backed Wizards | 33c | 729.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.9 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bucks | 69c | 723.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.34 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Bucks | 72c | 721.69$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.07 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…0602backed Bucks | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Bucks | 65c | 688.62$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.02 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…3d33backed Bucks | 67c | 686.79$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.64 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wizards | 30c | 685.95$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.82 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Wizards | 27c | 670.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.81 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Wizards | 17c | 650$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Wizards | 23c | 638.09$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards | 30c | 632.48$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.81 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Wizards | 4c | 600$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…e441backed Wizards | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Wizards | 39c | 552.43$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.61 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Bucks | 50c | 550$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Bucks | 66c | 538.85$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.21 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Wizards | 33c | 521.21$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Bucks | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.