NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x237408262a118127952a92dde62f1ab7be1ef70132695a36e17ca018282b3d97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $885,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $892,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $885,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Lightning | 68c | 344,756$233,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233,529.97 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Kings | 34c | 177,987$59,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,071.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Lightning | 65c | 166,777$107,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,990.57 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Kings | 33c | 109,571$35,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,635.65 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 33c | 54,216$18,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,054.41 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lightning | 67c | 41,661$27,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,863.21 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lightning | 65c | 36,612$23,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,753.25 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 34c | 36,087$12,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,839.45 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Lightning | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.92 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Kings | 35c | 23,331$8,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,165.12 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kings | 31c | 21,910$6,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,117.9 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 33c | 20,368$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,608.12 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kings | 33c | 20,008$6,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,464.33 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Kings | 31c | 18,888$5,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,032.72 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 34c | 18,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,880 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kings | 37c | 16,165$5,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,183.72 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lightning | 67c | 15,768$10,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,565.65 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Kings | 34c | 15,070$5,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,943.97 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kings | 35c | 15,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Kings | 36c | 15,000$5,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,649.94 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Lightning | 38c | 12,064$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,533.05 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Kings | 33c | 10,774$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,182.59 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Lightning | 65c | 8,400$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 62c | 8,330$5,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.86 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings | 33c | 8,100$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,401.95 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…42b4backed Lightning | 67c | 6,500$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,354.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Kings | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kings | 34c | 5,989$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.87 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.29 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Kings | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb794…3143backed Kings | 33c | 4,744$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Kings | 34c | 4,450$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.3 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 33c | 4,244$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.99 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 36c | 4,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Kings | 33c | 3,728$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.76 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 33c | 3,502$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.5 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kings | 37c | 3,415$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.45 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kings | 44c | 3,405$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.96 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lightning | 65c | 2,839$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.53 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kings | 29c | 2,751$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.54 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kings | 36c | 2,649$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.83 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Kings | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 62c | 2,600$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Kings | 35c | 2,579$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.38 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 36c | 2,572$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.04 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 38c | 2,540$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.52 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Lightning | 65c | 2,492$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.8 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Lightning | 5c | 2,400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Lightning | 65c | 2,308$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 37c | 2,239$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.84 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Kings | 35c | 2,143$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.86 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Lightning | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Kings | 36c | 1,972$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.22 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lightning | 41c | 1,943$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.6 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Lightning | 64c | 1,809$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.97 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Lightning | 11c | 1,795$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.49 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 34c | 1,768$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.77 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…aa11backed Lightning | 67c | 1,713$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Kings | 38c | 1,700$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Lightning | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Kings | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Kings | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Kings | 41c | 1,444$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.25 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 33c | 1,429$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.4 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lightning | 62c | 1,360$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.11 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kings | 61c | 1,358$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.64 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Kings | 35c | 1,246$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.81 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Kings | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kings | 35c | 1,183$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.95 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lightning | 24c | 1,163$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.73 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Lightning | 57c | 1,160$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 53cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lightning | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4343backed Lightning | 60c | 1,100$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…f97dbacked Kings | 33c | 1,100$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lightning | 7c | 1,098$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Kings | 35c | 1,046$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.03 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 34c | 1,021$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.45 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Lightning | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lightning | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Kings | 38c | 1,000$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.27 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 61c | 953.16$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.45 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c0…93fdbacked Lightning | 24c | 875$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Kings | 35c | 869$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.85 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Lightning | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Lightning | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Kings | 36c | 709$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.76 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kings | 36c | 699.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Lightning | 67c | 671.64$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Lightning | 65c | 656.46$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.7 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc3…aca4backed Kings | 33c | 650$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings | 31c | 645$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.05 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kings | 37c | 634.7$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.86 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings | 34c | 614$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.24 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Lightning | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Kings | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Kings | 32c | 599.67$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.92 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…1725backed Lightning | 65c | 586.15$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kings | 35c | 585.64$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.67 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Lightningthis page
- Kings vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.