TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Wild, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$327,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders50c77,525$39,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,107.631,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Wild42c65,233$27,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,811.1513449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Islanders57c51,478$29,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,342.5715953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Wild43c33,751$14,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,238.1688151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Wild43c18,824$8,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,805.9356649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Wild42c11,880$5,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,840.6441246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Islanders42c10,200$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,25089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Islanders59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9005745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Wild44c9,327$4,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,223.1230848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Islanders30c8,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbfd…8447backed Wild45c7,501$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,125.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c3b…cddfbacked Islanders55c7,493$4,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,121250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa11a…e017backed Islanders55c7,031$3,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,866.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d1…2633backed Wild45c7,022$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,862.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479a…e8b7backed Islanders57c7,018$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Islanders58c7,000$4,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,059.9930447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders9c6,754$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.651,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Wild74c5,380$3,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.2610565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders54c5,260$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,840.41,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Wild42c3,750$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,17513333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Wild44c3,700$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.7454047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f8…15ddbacked Wild44c3,600$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0164100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+112.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Islanders59c3,536$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.941,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Islanders12c3,452$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9229412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Islanders16c3,125$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.4533848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Islanders59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77011946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Wild41c2,876$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.7958841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Wild41c2,711$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.5251452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Wild42c2,658$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.92552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Wild42c2,583$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.8937847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Wild44c2,492$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.7863249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e39…3122backed Wild44c2,481$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.052650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wild67c2,479$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.732,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Islanders5c2,428$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.440550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Islanders8c2,265$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.9482043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Islanders56c2,152$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.082227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-43.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Islanders11c2,006$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6144848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe530…7424backed Islanders56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x618d…aadcbacked Wild42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1602454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f3…fc66backed Wild43c1,805$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa383…417cbacked Islanders58c1,805$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…503ebacked Wild44c1,800$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…e4c8backed Islanders60c1,702$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.482347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Islanders42c1,646$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.9134845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65e3…266fbacked Wild44c1,618$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Wild44c1,505$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.553158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Islanders25c1,463$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.21,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7591…9829backed Wild79c1,401$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wild42c1,336$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.4791653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9005…d988backed Islanders13c1,312$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Islanders59c1,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70825446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Islanders57c1,194$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.7131654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Wild42c1,190$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.184949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x072a…3e85backed Wild44c1,172$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.593652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…52c1backed Wild44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.361560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db0…ece3backed Islanders57c1,136$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.521637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Islanders22c1,118$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24129319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Wild41c1,110$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.3389249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Wild42c1,102$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3830152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wild42c1,060$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.991,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7780…f218backed Islanders58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-53.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Wild42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58026955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked Islanders58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5802962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6868…08d7backed Wild41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5901850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Wild43c999.98$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.999250%46 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5288…0439backed Islanders58c999.98$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdda2…4375backed Wild43c999.9$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.943650%18 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3289…4538backed Wild42c971.89$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.693148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Wild43c930.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.238541.2%35 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Islanders58c917.98$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.4315448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Wild44c872.96$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.8648050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Wild79c856$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.523964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed Islanders25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Wild42c791.04$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.021,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00b…e78cbacked Islanders57c682.05$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.773053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc439…1308backed Wild44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.824067.5%27 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x87e1…d5bcbacked Wild44c599.97$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.987450%37 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2490…303dbacked Wild44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1822051.4%113 W · 107 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders53c564.47$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.171,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders14c561.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Wild41c541.46$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.466262.9%39 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wild42c532.43$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.811,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x035e…b0b7backed Islanders2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Islanders59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29533837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Wild42c500$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6754349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14cf…594ebacked Islanders60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Islanders58c499.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904045%18 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Wild41c499.91$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9551044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Wild68c491.79$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5695049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f6…6e69backed Islanders57c491.26$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.025054%27 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c5…cb81backed Wild44c491.09$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.011861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Islanders22c454$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8813435.8%48 W · 86 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Islanders26c407.29$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.651,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders23c368.84$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.831,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed Islanders20c366.24$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Islanders57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Islanders59c350$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.51650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00e2…72a3backed Wild43c313.95$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.954553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Islanders58c312.16$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.056642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.