TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x035e…b0b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: World Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Pacers vs. Nuggetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Thunder vs. Kingsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+25%+$3
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+163.2%+$34.72
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$2,525.77
Heat vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.45
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+35.1%+$9.1
76ers vs. Bullsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25%+$3
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.75
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+36.5%+$18.7
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Auburn vs. Vanderbiltbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16
UTSA Roadrunners vs. South Floridabacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+35.1%+$19.5
Will NEOM SC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.13
Denver Pioneers vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Wild vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+37%+$5.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.