College Football · resolved market
UTSA Roadrunners vs. South Florida
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cacf0726b065d6a19eecf9633bbfc2668de79636ff5f6d635e02bca88e006fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Floridaof UTSA Roadrunners, South Florida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $351,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…0977backed UTSA Roadrunners | 5c | 96,915$4,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845.75 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 51,475$8,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,021.21 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed UTSA Roadrunners | 5c | 46,672$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.41 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 21,403$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.48 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 11,634$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 10,012$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.72 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 8,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 7,152$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.34 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…3779backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 6,500$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…3e55backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 6,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 5,434$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.27 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UTSA Roadrunners | 3c | 4,389$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe20…c1d8backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 3,500$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 2c | 2,100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 1,667$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.72 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 1,400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed UTSA Roadrunners | 18c | 1,307$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.26 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UTSA Roadrunners | 6c | 1,017$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x035e…b0b7backed UTSA Roadrunners | 1c | 995.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 803.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 5c | 610$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 6c | 484$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 448.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed UTSA Roadrunners | 15c | 405.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 377.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 321.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde0…20aabacked UTSA Roadrunners | 18c | 291$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d8…16dbbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UTSA Roadrunners | 5c | 242$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 229$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1d…0374backed UTSA Roadrunners | 18c | 212$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 203$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 198.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 198.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0d19backed UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 196.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa979…21cfbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 18c | 192$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9035…095ebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 18c | 192$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…e393backed UTSA Roadrunners | 18c | 192$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f6…b90cbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 131$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 123.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec81…b674backed UTSA Roadrunners | 18c | 117$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 111$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed UTSA Roadrunners | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. South Floridathis page
- O/U 68.5Over won
- Spread: South Florida (-13.5)South Florida won
- Spread: South Florida (-14.5)South Florida won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. South Florida: O/U 67.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.