College Football · resolved market
Spread: South Florida (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x676f2bb76b4987d8353bea6fc630c9b6629c5903ad82e9a98f50c8375f6d6242
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Floridaof South Florida, UTSA Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 9,560$4,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.39 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed UTSA Roadrunners | 48c | 6,992$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.16 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked South Florida | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked South Florida | 51c | 5,075$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.97 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed UTSA Roadrunners | 47c | 5,040$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.8 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked South Florida | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.04 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed South Florida | 52c | 3,619$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.64 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed South Florida | 50c | 3,292$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.16 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked South Florida | 52c | 3,096$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.84 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked South Florida | 51c | 3,011$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.89 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 48c | 2,789$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.55 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed UTSA Roadrunners | 47c | 2,033$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.62 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…bdf1backed UTSA Roadrunners | 48c | 866.83$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed South Florida | 53c | 858.9$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.77 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed UTSA Roadrunners | 48c | 780.73$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.75 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked South Florida | 53c | 462.26$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.26 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked South Florida | 54c | 411.11$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.11 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed South Florida | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed South Florida | 53c | 188.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed South Florida | 51c | 149.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked South Florida | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 47.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed UTSA Roadrunners | 49c | 38.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: South Florida (-13.5)this page
- O/U 68.5Over won
- Spread: South Florida (-14.5)South Florida won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. South FloridaSouth Florida won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. South Florida: O/U 67.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.