NFL · resolved market
Saints vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5daf50568fe856ab892be624de6c38b371fa50c49c9d96163e698d197b95f2ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saintsof Saints, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $995,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $984,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $995,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Saints | 32c | 397,532$127,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270,321.93 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Panthers | 67c | 213,792$144,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,261.96 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Saints | 31c | 142,505$44,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,903.68 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Saints | 42c | 98,005$40,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,177.84 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Saints | 31c | 79,502$24,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,929.99 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Panthers | 68c | 67,602$46,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,076 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Panthers | 68c | 55,275$37,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,587 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Panthers | 68c | 47,500$32,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,300 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Saints | 32c | 35,028$11,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,819.06 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Panthers | 64c | 32,082$20,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,397.46 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Panthers | 69c | 26,589$18,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,346.64 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Panthers | 68c | 25,044$17,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,115.26 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Panthers | 49c | 24,465$11,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,988 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Saints | 32c | 22,724$7,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,521.72 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Panthers | 68c | 22,407$15,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,250.67 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Panthers | 68c | 20,894$14,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,207.88 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Panthers | 71c | 20,788$14,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,692.99 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Panthers | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,600 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 68c | 19,554$13,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,222.67 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Saints | 45c | 17,877$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,876.7 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Panthers | 68c | 16,000$10,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,880 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Panthers | 69c | 16,000$11,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,040 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…1e9cbacked Saints | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Panthers | 68c | 14,547$9,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,894.52 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Panthers | 70c | 14,286$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Panthers | 67c | 11,492$7,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,749.5 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Panthers | 67c | 11,280$7,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,577.5 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Panthers | 42c | 10,955$4,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,608.15 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panthers | 46c | 10,915$5,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.22 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Panthers | 14c | 10,030$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.68 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Panthers | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 68c | 9,960$6,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800.68 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Panthers | 74c | 8,621$6,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,357 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Panthers | 68c | 8,600$5,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,848 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panthers | 73c | 6,659$4,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864.3 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Panthers | 68c | 6,412$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.16 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Panthers | 16c | 5,710$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.18 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Panthers | 69c | 4,962$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.16 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Panthers | 66c | 4,098$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.08 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Panthers | 68c | 4,013$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Panthers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Saints | 33c | 4,000$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.4 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Saints | 31c | 4,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Panthers | 70c | 3,500$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Saints | 37c | 3,428$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.44 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Panthers | 69c | 3,260$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.4 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Panthers | 59c | 3,256$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.44 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers | 58c | 3,238$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.11 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…2c46backed Panthers | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Saints | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…472ebacked Panthers | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Saints | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Panthers | 72c | 2,916$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.85 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Saints | 31c | 2,689$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.16 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Panthers | 68c | 2,629$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.72 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…0dc7backed Panthers | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Panthers | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Panthers | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Panthers | 69c | 2,400$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 68c | 2,365$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Panthers | 69c | 2,319$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Panthers | 44c | 2,274$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.85 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Panthers | 68c | 2,184$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.73 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed Saints | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Panthers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Saints | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.98 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Panthers | 1c | 1,999$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers | 68c | 1,865$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.2 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Saints | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.84 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Saints | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd76e…225bbacked Saints | 31c | 1,531$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Saints | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Panthers | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Panthers | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a1…8483backed Panthers | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Panthers | 67c | 1,439$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.55 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Panthers | 48c | 1,365$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.43 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saints | 31c | 1,357$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.17 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Saints | 32c | 1,245$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.6 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Panthers | 68c | 1,181$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.9 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Panthers | 69c | 1,164$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.92 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Saints | 42c | 1,125$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.35 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Panthers | 68c | 1,107$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Panthers | 68c | 1,048$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.8 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Panthers | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Panthers | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Panthers | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Panthers | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Saints | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Saints | 30c | 998.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.23 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Panthers | 32c | 845$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Panthers | 4c | 819.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panthers | 69c | 815.01$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.97 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…ae2ebacked Panthers | 69c | 780$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Panthers | 65c | 728.57$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…9fb0backed Panthers | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Panthers | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Saints | 30c | 659.77$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.14 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +52%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Panthers | 3c | 615$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Saints | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saints vs. Panthersthis page
- 1H Spread: Panthers (-3.5)Saints won
- Saints vs. Panthers: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Saints vs. Panthers: O/U 38.5Under won
- Saints vs. Panthers: O/U 39.5Under won
- Saints vs. Panthers: O/U 40.5Under won
- Saints vs. Panthers: O/U 41.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-3.5)Saints won
- Spread: Panthers (-4.5)Saints won
- Spread: Panthers (-5.5)Saints won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.