TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Panthers (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saintsof Panthers, Saints
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,415 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7189…b454backed Panthers49c30,467$14,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,928.85764.9%37 W · 20 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Panthers48c26,627$12,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,741.2386547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Saints51c24,432$12,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,971.9111168.5%76 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Saints51c23,015$11,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,287.8117647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Saints52c21,000$10,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,08027454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Panthers49c20,000$9,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,699.9823937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Saints51c16,788$8,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,15135848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Panthers49c13,178$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.911,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Saints52c12,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,76011649.1%57 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Panthers48c10,144$4,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,868.9311445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Saints51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90017348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Panthers49c9,020$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,42013142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Panthers49c8,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9208351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Panthers48c7,500$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60014450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c6f…89b9backed Saints52c5,775$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.785756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Saints53c5,094$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.3418140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers48c4,152$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.7983147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Saints51c3,270$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.320661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Saints52c2,697$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.4434349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Panthers48c2,232$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.9341248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa7…adbfbacked Panthers49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9802240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Saints51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9809855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Saints52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0814252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Saints51c1,047$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.0265048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Saints52c1,038$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.465358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Panthers49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011142.3%47 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb00…42e9backed Panthers49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Saints51c1,011$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.965754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Saints51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4903661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Panthers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Saints52c960$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.811759.8%70 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Panthers48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Panthers49c611.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.854934.7%17 W · 32 L-8.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc774…3d3ebacked Panthers49c521.97$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2561346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Saints52c518.89$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25019459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Saints52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24015252%79 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed Saints52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa86c…6ec8backed Saints52c480$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.45032%16 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Saints52c407.5$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.64259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Panthers49c395.8$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6533553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Saints51c395$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5524243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked Panthers51c389.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Saints52c385$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.816346%75 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Saints52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.623554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ee…5800backed Saints52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Saints53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0216451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Panthers48c262.95$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1483447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked Panthers49c255.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Saints52c208$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8415746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Panthers49c206$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9436341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed Panthers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014347.6%68 W · 75 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf36f…fb15backed Panthers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008650%43 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Panthers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017548%84 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Saints51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9855345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Saints50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05bb…8ef9backed Panthers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+58.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Panthers49c154.75$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8331350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Panthers49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7028047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Panthers49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017547.4%83 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Panthers48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.659453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9da3…a7efbacked Panthers49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012054.2%65 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeee2…d1bdbacked Panthers49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Panthers49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4919436.6%71 W · 123 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Panthers48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad5c…ac13backed Panthers49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496036.7%22 W · 38 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Saints52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1513448.5%65 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ff…5e00backed Panthers63c95.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Saints37c95.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6041947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Panthers46c94.55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3561148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5dd…b094backed Panthers49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.29443.6%41 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Saints52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.927065.7%46 W · 24 L+9.8wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f21…fa6dbacked Panthers49c73.47$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362025%5 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-58.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Panthers49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515855.7%88 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Panthers49c67.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3322745.4%103 W · 124 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c1…012cbacked Saints52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.86753.7%36 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f7…b17abacked Saints55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5511855.9%66 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Panthers49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511747.9%56 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Panthers48c50.39$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1241450.5%209 W · 205 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Saints52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2413751.8%71 W · 66 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Saints51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.529751.5%153 W · 144 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Panthers52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264959.2%29 W · 20 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+24.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x89bd…8c00backed Panthers48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+41.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3552…f07bbacked Panthers49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206246.8%29 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Panthers49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4162…46cfbacked Panthers49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7429…451ebacked Saints53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x833c…24f4backed Panthers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd47b…c715backed Panthers49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157135.2%25 W · 46 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d6f…722dbacked Saints50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+48.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a99…bcbbbacked Panthers49c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…155dbacked Saints52c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…f8bdbacked Saints52c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80f6…1da8backed Panthers49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53c…ddccbacked Panthers49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c8…3559backed Panthers49c20.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.