TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Nuggets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Pacers, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$746,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$792,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $746,352 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c67…377ebacked Pacers19c107,957$20,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,053.971643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Pacers20c20,778$4,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,193.478939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers19c20,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers18c20,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Pacers15c19,283$2,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,892.415815.5%9 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Pacers12c18,838$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.4747144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pacers18c18,264$3,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,372.2872450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea34…0a92backed Pacers20c17,117$3,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,412.766654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers1c15,346$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.351,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Pacers14c13,772$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.1534645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Pacers21c13,333$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8005947.5%28 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pacers20c12,791$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,530.32,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Pacers8c12,378$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.8927917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pacers0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers20c9,885$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.062,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pacers3c8,499$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.118783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pacers15c8,443$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.431,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x596e…7b82backed Pacers18c7,750$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.981656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers7c7,227$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Pacers7c7,081$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.747535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers15c6,700$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03846928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers3c6,576$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.271,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Pacers18c5,819$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.892,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers19c4,169$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.231,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Pacers18c4,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72018142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x434e…a307backed Nuggets80c3,924$3,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pacers7c3,877$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8581529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers0c3,790$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9164517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers19c3,706$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.761,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Pacers19c3,600$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68445348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers13c3,343$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.993,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Pacers19c3,337$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.1669852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Pacers19c3,035$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56720034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pacers5c2,849$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.92,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf02…4fdcbacked Pacers20c2,739$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.72937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…fb60backed Nuggets80c2,541$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.515379.2%42 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Nuggets80c2,174$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.7347856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Nuggets79c2,078$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.6771052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Pacers10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers12c1,994$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.581,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb9…8429backed Pacers9c1,790$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Pacers15c1,700$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.0195049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Pacers15c1,666$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.934942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Pacers14c1,621$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020434.8%71 W · 133 L+0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Pacers10c1,591$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1942640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Pacers18c1,523$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.181,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Pacers20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Pacers20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019441.2%80 W · 114 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f8…3c9fbacked Pacers22c1,360$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006826.5%18 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x222c…4ab2backed Nuggets74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.352544%11 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers13c1,216$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.91,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b43…467fbacked Pacers2c1,200$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Pacers18c1,200$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21724330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pacers19c1,081$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.2885344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Pacers8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Pacers4c999.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Pacers22c984.68$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.5424323.9%58 W · 185 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0835…7ac0backed Pacers18c929.3$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.983917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers20c925$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.576,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fda…f4ebbacked Pacers6c879.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.434729.8%14 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers19c831.55$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.573,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e06…1b59backed Nuggets80c800$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70d2…f395backed Pacers20c728$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.68243.9%36 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe456…00cbbacked Nuggets80c680$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Pacers11c657.03$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6936423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9599…3c20backed Pacers19c639.49$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206428.1%18 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f83…7252backed Pacers4c627.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.112910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Pacers17c610.92$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.759227.2%25 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Pacers16c600.21$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0324634.1%84 W · 162 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Pacers17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10261740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x251a…79bdbacked Pacers4c569.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.042572%18 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e80…09b8backed Nuggets77c554.31$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.491573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b01…1998backed Pacers20c504.05$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea2…a465backed Nuggets80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked Pacers17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Nuggets80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10022542.2%95 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3f…0a9bbacked Nuggets80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Pacers17c440.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.65740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Nuggets80c434.73$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9518053.3%96 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Pacers16c417.88$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8630249.3%149 W · 153 L+33.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Nuggets80c415.03$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0114358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets53c410$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.71,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers11c404.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.672,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Pacers19c380$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7224835.1%87 W · 161 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Nuggets80c376$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.219845.5%90 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f15…f08dbacked Pacers6c328.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Pacers19c324.52$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6630053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Pacers29c321.53$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3953539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eea…f37cbacked Nuggets76c315.79$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7927162.4%169 W · 102 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcfd…c364backed Pacers16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507051.4%36 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5e…ef8dbacked Pacers19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe01f…276bbacked Pacers13c298.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5632…c2dabacked Pacers17c297.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x101f…eadbbacked Pacers19c289.47$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-52.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Pacers10c267.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.361,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Pacers11c260$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.638151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe172…274ebacked Pacers17c250$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425630.4%17 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Nuggets76c234$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.259743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba7…f148backed Pacers5c218.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.