TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Auburn vs. Vanderbilt

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vanderbiltof Auburn, Vanderbilt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$340,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,558 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2129…4222backed Auburn43c77,759$33,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,579.0285947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Vanderbilt58c35,658$20,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,876.9240541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Vanderbilt58c30,140$17,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,673.5664841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Auburn31c21,724$6,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,734.5393548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c6f…89b9backed Auburn47c19,977$9,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,405.259844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Vanderbilt59c18,689$11,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,606.0719842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Vanderbilt67c17,545$11,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,839.2268440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Auburn33c15,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,95027246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Vanderbilt69c14,493$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,492.7519362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Auburn28c11,195$3,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,132.7227648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Auburn37c11,194$4,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,101.8986243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Auburn64c10,709$6,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,887.824042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vanderbilt55c10,600$5,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,770.7962843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Auburn34c10,102$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,434.3932745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Vanderbilt63c9,687$6,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.4521538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Vanderbilt67c8,012$5,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.8716635.5%59 W · 107 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75b5…a1f2backed Vanderbilt67c7,176$4,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.661250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Vanderbilt37c6,727$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,215.638448.8%41 W · 43 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Vanderbilt68c6,458$4,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.5381847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Vanderbilt68c5,462$3,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.762343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Auburn32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9919120.9%40 W · 151 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Auburn31c4,603$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.9852641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Auburn42c4,036$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.6555350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Vanderbilt69c4,006$2,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24215751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Auburn33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3206731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Vanderbilt67c3,252$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.4913450.7%68 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdb4…baf0backed Auburn9c3,019$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Vanderbilt55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35063243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Vanderbilt52c2,871$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.099635.4%34 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Vanderbilt67c2,504$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.225152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Auburn32c2,400$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.9825629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Auburn33c2,348$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.256030%18 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Auburn31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6207448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Vanderbilt66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+43.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Vanderbilt63c2,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Vanderbilt76c1,980$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.69977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Auburn33c1,800$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.3834529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Auburn32c1,683$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.551,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vanderbilt63c1,570$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.4857144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Vanderbilt67c1,540$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.1849443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x400f…e712backed Vanderbilt75c1,480$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-53.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Vanderbilt51c1,478$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.1120553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Auburn35c1,407$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.1938450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Auburn33c1,388$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.111540%46 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa488…fb11backed Auburn36c1,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Vanderbilt70c1,339$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.2510555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d8b…3047backed Auburn31c1,313$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid+16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Vanderbilt67c1,269$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.5850358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e6…c0a9backed Vanderbilt25c1,268$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.081225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7b6…d93bbacked Auburn49c1,221$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Vanderbilt67c1,149$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.098851.1%45 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e6…1dc2backed Vanderbilt44c1,125$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.361553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6332…5a1abacked Vanderbilt74c1,046$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d1…0c60backed Auburn66c1,029$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.451145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Vanderbilt20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8003625%9 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Auburn33c961.27$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.762931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7546…3a91backed Vanderbilt48c938.75$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.753336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Vanderbilt60c900$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3605742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Vanderbilt66c784.19$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.632,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1377…56aebacked Auburn46c770$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9844…5e6cbacked Vanderbilt67c749.97$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.993060%18 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Vanderbilt69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.644770.2%33 W · 14 L+8.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Vanderbilt71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.234100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70d2…f395backed Vanderbilt46c648$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Vanderbilt48c567.9$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.065641.1%23 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Vanderbilt68c564.98$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9934250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Vanderbilt40c540$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3242454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Vanderbilt30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35026750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Vanderbilt64c469.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.081631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed Auburn55c460$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532536%9 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Auburn33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011221.4%24 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c6e…5884backed Vanderbilt69c453.62$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Vanderbilt79c439.25$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.976855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Vanderbilt69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.785060%30 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Vanderbilt69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7810445.2%47 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Auburn31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12475651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4417…8d57backed Auburn63c368.64$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.743043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Vanderbilt68c349.15$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.733053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Vanderbilt69c347.83$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.83955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Vanderbilt69c347.83$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.834746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Auburn31c345.82$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.222750.7%115 W · 112 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Auburn67c328.9$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.36944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Vanderbilt68c325$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1047846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee13…0ff0backed Vanderbilt62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Vanderbilt37c320.65$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.623751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Auburn40c313$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.463644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Auburn32c300$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9711149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Vanderbilt68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1216044.4%71 W · 89 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x46ed…cfa6backed Vanderbilt46c273.81$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.813357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3498…1533backed Auburn24c265.36$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.87812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0060…4cc4backed Vanderbilt58c259.75$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0a…d070backed Vanderbilt78c256.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x579b…4a2bbacked Auburn40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Auburn28c227.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.816023.3%14 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc597…4ee7backed Vanderbilt39c224.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.25875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Vanderbilt50c223.8$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.467856.4%44 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x855d…349fbacked Auburn24c211.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Vanderbilt78c210.13$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.035556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked Auburn55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffc3…8fffbacked Vanderbilt79c184.09$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.