College Football · resolved market
Spread: Vanderbilt (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd91930f4a1199cba65660f9904e2be0306f6600e75eaa0e20373f8dc3cb11112
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vanderbiltof Vanderbilt, Auburn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Auburn | 54c | 35,910$19,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,391.36 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Vanderbilt | 46c | 24,818$11,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,401.48 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Vanderbilt | 48c | 23,263$11,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,044.9 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vanderbilt | 46c | 6,986$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.7 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Auburn | 52c | 6,168$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.58 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Vanderbilt | 46c | 5,437$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.12 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Auburn | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Auburn | 51c | 4,936$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.06 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Vanderbilt | 47c | 3,911$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.71 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Auburn | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Auburn | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Auburn | 52c | 3,000$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Auburn | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Auburn | 52c | 1,925$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.97 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Vanderbilt | 48c | 1,868$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.3 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Auburn | 50c | 1,585$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.55 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…18edbacked Vanderbilt | 50c | 975$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Auburn | 52c | 966.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Vanderbilt | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Vanderbilt | 46c | 761$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.94 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…be02backed Vanderbilt | 50c | 580.1$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…9aabbacked Auburn | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Auburn | 53c | 474.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.15 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Vanderbilt | 47c | 455.24$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.34 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Vanderbilt | 47c | 394.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.84 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Auburn | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Vanderbilt | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041f…fce8backed Auburn | 53c | 271.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Auburn | 41c | 270$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Auburn | 54c | 259.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Vanderbilt | 46c | 223$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Vanderbilt | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Auburn | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…1047backed Auburn | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Auburn | 53c | 187.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Vanderbilt | 48c | 137.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Auburn | 55c | 107.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Auburn | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Auburn | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Auburn | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Auburn | 52c | 76.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Vanderbilt | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Auburn | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Auburn | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…b422backed Auburn | 53c | 42.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…ac58backed Vanderbilt | 48c | 39.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…cfd1backed Auburn | 53c | 38.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…7288backed Auburn | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Auburn | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b8…eccfbacked Auburn | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Auburn | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…0cdabacked Auburn | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed Auburn | 53c | 36.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…7e9abacked Vanderbilt | 48c | 33.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf47e…6676backed Vanderbilt | 49c | 32.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Vanderbilt | 46c | 30.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…ef66backed Vanderbilt | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Auburn | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…e136backed Auburn | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa48…1369backed Vanderbilt | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…b7c1backed Vanderbilt | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Auburn | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-6.5)this page
- Auburn vs. VanderbiltVanderbilt won
- Auburn vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 45.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.