World Politics · resolved market
Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72b2e9532f924f192e6712d4b4dd58469fce220d8a22834009e9adbaba72a378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e53…ba80backed No | 0c | 27,717$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed No | 9c | 5,832$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.93 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…9b1abacked Yes | 71c | 4,918$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 21c | 4,821$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.41 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…8a76backed No | 17c | 4,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe145…519abacked Yes | 80c | 3,624$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 13c | 3,406$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.13 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…b019backed Yes | 73c | 2,709$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 21c | 2,346$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.09 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed No | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.85 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c86…f1f1backed Yes | 79c | 1,780$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…56a3backed Yes | 76c | 1,720$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…67c4backed Yes | 75c | 1,604$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 12c | 1,578$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.06 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…14c4backed No | 32c | 1,500$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.48 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…847abacked No | 12c | 1,321$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…fdfabacked Yes | 72c | 1,218$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 1,197$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.9 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…641fbacked No | 9c | 1,135$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a68…af3bbacked No | 29c | 1,027$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 26c | 1,000$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 76c | 960$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed Yes | 74c | 898.64$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.38 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 868$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…0caebacked Yes | 71c | 819.75$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.06 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898d…261dbacked Yes | 79c | 712.17$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 80c | 637.27$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…52dabacked Yes | 79c | 587.45$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1409…735ebacked Yes | 71c | 556.11$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 26c | 544.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.97 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…40b0backed Yes | 79c | 536.99$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be0…d115backed Yes | 79c | 500$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 73c | 466.53$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…f4f5backed Yes | 72c | 454.42$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…e7b5backed Yes | 72c | 351.03$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 27c | 348.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 24c | 321.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 29c | 319.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…3297backed Yes | 71c | 307.14$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed Yes | 70c | 303$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 18c | 285.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 30c | 247$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df9…ab8dbacked Yes | 79c | 240.36$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde54…444dbacked No | 29c | 239$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +183%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eda…b840backed Yes | 68c | 232.32$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 76c | 231.46$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f97bbacked Yes | 75c | 230$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc5…247cbacked Yes | 76c | 220.22$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 79c | 213.46$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…d989backed No | 25c | 212$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Yes | 75c | 200.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…e29fbacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…f819backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…933ebacked Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8702backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…affcbacked Yes | 75c | 197.41$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 24c | 194.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 75c | 174.45$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9f…c209backed Yes | 79c | 160$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 26c | 157.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc21…b572backed Yes | 79c | 150.34$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…bdb8backed No | 21c | 150.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 30c | 144.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Yes | 73c | 141.05$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…00a1backed Yes | 80c | 135$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…1652backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe1…80d3backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 13c | 125.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.31per pick | 15cpaid | +216.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaae0…a1b7backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…11debacked No | 22c | 119.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde88…144cbacked Yes | 64c | 117.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed No | 21c | 117.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 75c | 112$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 27c | 110.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 31c | 108.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…908bbacked Yes | 70c | 104.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 17c | 103.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…7755backed No | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e4…7413backed Yes | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…8862backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59d…3eacbacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba9d…a72cbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6352…0935backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 16c | 83.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe701…942ebacked Yes | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c04…7031backed Yes | 69c | 76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…d384backed No | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…97a9backed No | 27c | 73.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…3715backed No | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86aa…a85bbacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1446…c608backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…0aabbacked No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed No | 32c | 60.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?this page
- Will Evelyn Matthei come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Franco Parisi come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Jeannette Jara come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Johannes Kaiser come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Ximena Rincón come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.