Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Leeds United end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2191b4196e4702793ad0ef94adbf74fd3285032725ba822df4f07fe6f9fcea67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 9,617$6,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.66 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 2,244$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.11 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 1,399$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,245$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.4 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 57c | 814.37$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.18 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 11c | 781.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 320.41$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…4f44backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 70c | 243.46$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked Yes | 30c | 216.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 208$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Yes | 29c | 153.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 43c | 146.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…2c7ebacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 15c | 106.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 32c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…f846backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…eb6abacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 17c | 66.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035e…b0b7backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…8d0cbacked No | 49c | 39.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 71c | 27.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…b890backed No | 72c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Leeds United end in a draw?this page
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.