Tennis · resolved market
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Lorenzo Musetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92ff11e9fba3e3ce82102b0eaf998e2174e4352f6cae7a6abb12a22ac417b9fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Muller, Musetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe916…4563backed Muller | 9c | 20,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Muller | 2c | 10,952$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Musetti | 78c | 10,316$8,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.58 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Muller | 20c | 7,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Muller | 8c | 7,466$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.01 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Muller | 10c | 4,633$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.33 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Muller | 21c | 4,315$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.59 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Musetti | 79c | 3,841$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.63 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Muller | 19c | 3,456$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.64 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Muller | 20c | 3,255$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.94 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed Muller | 20c | 2,883$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.01 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…9443backed Musetti | 79c | 2,854$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.81 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Muller | 13c | 2,575$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.85 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…831bbacked Muller | 10c | 2,567$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9380backed Muller | 7c | 2,416$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fda…f4ebbacked Muller | 4c | 2,395$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…3071backed Muller | 20c | 2,168$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Muller | 22c | 1,965$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.4 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…b486backed Musetti | 79c | 1,900$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443f…87ffbacked Muller | 20c | 1,900$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Muller | 22c | 1,818$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Musetti | 80c | 1,715$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.96 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…4964backed Muller | 21c | 1,630$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…3fa6backed Muller | 2c | 1,422$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Muller | 21c | 1,419$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.9 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Muller | 1c | 1,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Muller | 19c | 1,400$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.23 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Muller | 22c | 1,361$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Musetti | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Musetti | 78c | 1,085$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.33 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Muller | 20c | 1,013$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.6 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc16…8ff3backed Musetti | 79c | 1,006$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…2edebacked Muller | 19c | 1,005$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Muller | 23c | 1,000$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.56 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Muller | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc597…4ee7backed Muller | 2c | 999.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…19bebacked Musetti | 79c | 980$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Muller | 3c | 957.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…6c30backed Muller | 22c | 925.46$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.19 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Muller | 8c | 900.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Musetti | 80c | 869$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Muller | 2c | 830$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Muller | 8c | 784.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…dda4backed Musetti | 80c | 774$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82c…4a83backed Musetti | 80c | 754$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Muller | 14c | 727.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a6…0b99backed Musetti | 79c | 699.98$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad2…484cbacked Musetti | 80c | 640$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Musetti | 77c | 560.55$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.93 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Musetti | 80c | 516$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Muller | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Musetti | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Muller | 12c | 499.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41c7…1d03backed Muller | 22c | 477.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Muller | 9c | 477.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…8cb2backed Muller | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Muller | 17c | 475$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Muller | 22c | 457.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…3c13backed Muller | 22c | 454.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…6549backed Muller | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Musetti | 79c | 450$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Musetti | 80c | 443.55$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Muller | 6c | 407.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…c1acbacked Muller | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…234dbacked Muller | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…7ac0backed Muller | 21c | 399.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…3f5fbacked Muller | 4c | 395.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Muller | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Musetti | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed Musetti | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…d2eabacked Musetti | 79c | 360$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214f…5849backed Muller | 22c | 350$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae9…a216backed Muller | 6c | 349.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Muller | 9c | 315$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Muller | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Muller | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…ef8dbacked Muller | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Muller | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3393…6fb6backed Musetti | 79c | 290$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Muller | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Muller | 21c | 266.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1f…2bebbacked Muller | 21c | 253$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…c89abacked Muller | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed Muller | 14c | 229.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…b602backed Muller | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x728f…b55dbacked Muller | 15c | 225$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Musetti | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Muller | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Muller | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x798b…391bbacked Muller | 21c | 196$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe39…92abbacked Muller | 22c | 185$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…99ebbacked Muller | 8c | 170$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Muller | 24c | 151.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Musetti | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…d50cbacked Muller | 11c | 142.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Muller | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…b5f6backed Musetti | 80c | 136.85$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9f…4cc8backed Muller | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a0…9a71backed Muller | 8c | 128.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Musetti | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.