NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf30fe69f81879fda77f1bc7ec8bcc811a6f27fd2017d7068c5dd361d50ebf28b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Celtics, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,729,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,782,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,729,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,937 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…0977backed Magic | 77c | 162,363$124,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,957.32 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Celtics | 26c | 100,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ae…0e0ebacked Celtics | 42c | 80,500$33,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,810 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…7679backed Magic | 58c | 80,000$46,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,599.95 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +41%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Celtics | 3c | 76,905$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.76 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Celtics | 29c | 60,022$17,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,164.21 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Magic | 60c | 54,464$32,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,785.54 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Magic | 69c | 53,142$36,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,655.3 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Magic | 79c | 47,297$37,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,063 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Celtics | 40c | 41,076$16,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,632.93 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Celtics | 42c | 38,847$16,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,311.41 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Magic | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,599.95 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Magic | 68c | 29,292$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,292.23 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Celtics | 38c | 26,208$10,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,035.15 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Magic | 59c | 25,000$14,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,249.96 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Magic | 60c | 22,264$13,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,905.58 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Magic | 59c | 20,350$12,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,343.58 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Celtics | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.97 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Celtics | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.94 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Magic | 77c | 18,530$14,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230.59 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Celtics | 49c | 17,065$8,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,316.26 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Magic | 58c | 16,970$9,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,207.95 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3403…9986backed Magic | 59c | 16,747$9,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,783.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668c…9ff6backed Celtics | 42c | 15,619$6,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,564.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 62c | 15,044$9,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,696.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Celtics | 30c | 14,108$4,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,219.44 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Magic | 58c | 13,714$7,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,759.81 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…01f3backed Celtics | 41c | 12,151$4,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,981.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Celtics | 42c | 11,864$4,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,982.83 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Magic | 59c | 11,820$7,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,819.04 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Magic | 58c | 11,810$6,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,960.18 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics | 22c | 10,965$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.2 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…8009backed Celtics | 42c | 10,900$4,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,578 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Celtics | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Celtics | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Celtics | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Magic | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.99 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…3c18backed Magic | 59c | 9,400$5,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,854 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…9c0fbacked Magic | 58c | 9,007$5,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,782.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Celtics | 43c | 9,006$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872.42 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71b…7af1backed Magic | 59c | 8,900$5,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183c…f958backed Magic | 59c | 8,900$5,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Celtics | 40c | 8,756$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.28 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6af…2887backed Celtics | 42c | 8,650$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Celtics | 43c | 8,600$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.88 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…5a93backed Celtics | 41c | 8,503$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a36…2366backed Magic | 59c | 8,492$5,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…da94backed Celtics | 41c | 8,359$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Magic | 58c | 8,181$4,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,433.61 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd6…e7b9backed Magic | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 58c | 7,719$4,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.55 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Magic | 58c | 7,534$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.44 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792c…4431backed Celtics | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Magic | 59c | 7,173$4,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.76 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…7dc6backed Magic | 58c | 6,937$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Celtics | 41c | 6,800$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.2 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Magic | 58c | 6,218$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.56 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Magic | 59c | 6,082$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.1 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Celtics | 41c | 6,003$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…a53abacked Magic | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…6d22backed Celtics | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Magic | 60c | 5,893$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.03 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Magic | 58c | 5,635$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.73 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 58c | 5,384$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.86 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Celtics | 21c | 5,343$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.12 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Celtics | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd6…19e8backed Celtics | 42c | 4,822$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.93 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Celtics | 13c | 4,000$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.67 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Magic | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Celtics | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89f…1d11backed Celtics | 41c | 3,745$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Celtics | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Celtics | 38c | 3,532$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.63 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Magic | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.99 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 79c | 3,464$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.53 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 57c | 3,449$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Celtics | 29c | 3,404$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…2e08backed Celtics | 42c | 3,310$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…4afebacked Magic | 58c | 3,168$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…1d0abacked Magic | 58c | 3,123$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Celtics | 43c | 3,056$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.43 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Celtics | 41c | 3,026$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.62 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Magic | 57c | 3,009$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.84 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Magic | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Magic | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.98 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…0586backed Magic | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…4925backed Magic | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…cd79backed Celtics | 35c | 2,999$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…48d7backed Celtics | 42c | 2,980$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.6 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Celtics | 35c | 2,892$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Celtics | 41c | 2,814$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.58 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Magic | 70c | 2,778$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.14 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Magic | 58c | 2,745$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Celtics | 17c | 2,726$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.99 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Celtics | 30c | 2,713$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.82 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Magic | 60c | 2,522$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.22 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Celtics | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…9e53backed Celtics | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…000fbacked Magic | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Magic | 58c | 2,467$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Celtics vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Celtics vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.