TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$315,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$295,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,406 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc996…bb65backed Yes2c32,041$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.829450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes25c21,218$5,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,304.5224846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No75c17,981$13,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,528.331655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes26c15,222$3,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,957.712828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No74c15,000$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.9630851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No75c13,040$9,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,26010849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes3c11,149$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9817234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b9…3d59backed Yes1c10,521$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.641931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No74c7,967$5,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.7679639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c7,875$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.392037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Yes26c7,692$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes26c6,252$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.7627235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes26c6,100$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3efb…9d62backed Yes13c6,100$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes22c5,790$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.939111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes26c4,830$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.712218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No74c3,929$2,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.5816651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63df…36c4backed Yes27c3,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No74c3,600$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93637054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No74c3,324$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.1121353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c3,319$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.571,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e3…cda8backed Yes26c3,056$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes27c3,003$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8105232.7%17 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.886048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes26c2,561$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.735347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No76c2,400$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57610159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7623…a48abacked Yes26c2,300$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5982254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe959…7c7abacked Yes5c2,183$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c2,139$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.7156453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed No75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5007060%42 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.997448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9946651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes26c1,931$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004729.8%14 W · 33 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb967…65edbacked Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.981566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes26c1,919$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49918433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes26c1,774$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.2910426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0909…78dcbacked Yes3c1,727$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Yes2c1,650$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.74628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes18c1,634$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes26c1,631$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.0520039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes9c1,500$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.52441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4378…8babbacked Yes4c1,400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes2c1,350$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3332822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes26c1,281$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3332147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Yes13c1,200$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.141323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked No74c1,200$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3124252.4%22 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d87…db7abacked Yes8c1,181$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Yes9c1,172$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes27c1,149$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.4467042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No74c1,147$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.299263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes15c1,078$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16525637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4011…479cbacked Yes25c1,009$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26022932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0b…2b8ebacked Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0b6…3eacbacked No74c999.93$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.98757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a8…45adbacked Yes25c994.99$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes26c921.73$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.653868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes8c920.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd757…276cbacked Yes4c872.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No74c850$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22118958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aa5…6bc9backed Yes10c842.4$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes6c840$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.628736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bcd…38c3backed Yes26c820.15$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.241241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa52…dabfbacked Yes25c816.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5263…3050backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2baa…e6dbbacked No75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee5…c481backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes25c799.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.897230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4762…dc1bbacked Yes26c770$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.21723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-62.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005633.9%19 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5635…6953backed Yes26c765.88$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.13714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-73.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes3c750$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008237.8%31 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x939d…b588backed Yes27c729.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-65.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb65d…4925backed Yes25c700$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc722…1334backed Yes13c700$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes26c699.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18015037.3%56 W · 94 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No77c690.93$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6236954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6c71…23dcbacked Yes19c690.19$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.19119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed Yes26c638.46$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1663672.2%26 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+46.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x042a…b153backed Yes6c634.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413910.3%4 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-52.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf17…9c04backed Yes6c614.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.616728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No74c600$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15640953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Yes3c588.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.282245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes26c575.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.747035.7%25 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26a5…a2bebacked Yes27c559.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ac…d539backed Yes23c539.44$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.55232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked Yes22c528.23$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e2…b9c8backed Yes27c520.61$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c1…2e70backed Yes26c508.81$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.293050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes25c499.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes22c451.31$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9113033.1%43 W · 87 L-11.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes27c447.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.