NFL · resolved market
Falcons vs. Colts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56348e19c5c507f80cd46336db6278b85dc75d6511f10ca2d8a85abe356a5b3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coltsof Falcons, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,474,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,612,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,474,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 724 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Falcons | 27c | 123,946$33,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,465.42 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Colts | 72c | 94,711$68,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,272.66 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Colts | 79c | 79,671$62,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,787.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Falcons | 28c | 71,029$19,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,888.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Colts | 73c | 70,000$51,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,900 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Falcons | 29c | 67,231$19,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,497.11 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Falcons | 33c | 49,698$16,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,352.5 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Falcons | 26c | 45,849$11,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,883.88 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Colts | 71c | 40,221$28,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,648.57 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Falcons | 19c | 38,215$7,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,203.31 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Falcons | 28c | 37,002$10,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,360.69 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Falcons | 25c | 33,616$8,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,433.87 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Falcons | 40c | 32,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,799.97 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Colts | 66c | 28,246$18,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,631.46 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Falcons | 28c | 26,659$7,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,464.58 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Colts | 69c | 22,558$15,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,894.09 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Colts | 42c | 21,453$9,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,410.4 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Colts | 58c | 20,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,499.99 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Falcons | 39c | 18,441$7,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,231.55 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd1…da1cbacked Falcons | 29c | 17,500$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Colts | 73c | 15,000$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Falcons | 27c | 14,689$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029.98 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Falcons | 22c | 14,368$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.3 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Falcons | 27c | 14,222$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.93 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Colts | 60c | 13,052$7,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,252.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Falcons | 42c | 12,841$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,330.39 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…fb11backed Colts | 80c | 12,748$10,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Colts | 56c | 12,489$6,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,491.27 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…b79abacked Colts | 72c | 12,054$8,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Colts | 60c | 12,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Falcons | 27c | 11,672$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.76 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Falcons | 52c | 11,281$5,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,920.92 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Colts | 68c | 10,705$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.92 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bf…c877backed Falcons | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colts | 61c | 8,822$5,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.05 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Colts | 58c | 8,500$4,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Colts | 72c | 8,000$5,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Colts | 73c | 7,812$5,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.16 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Colts | 55c | 7,293$4,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Colts | 71c | 7,239$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.34 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Colts | 72c | 6,618$4,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.93 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Falcons | 48c | 6,528$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.49 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…2e33backed Colts | 74c | 6,068$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…ed90backed Falcons | 51c | 5,937$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Falcons | 38c | 5,835$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.39 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Colts | 69c | 5,497$3,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed Colts | 59c | 5,445$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.02 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…38fabacked Falcons | 25c | 5,361$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Colts | 72c | 5,231$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.26 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Colts | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Falcons | 38c | 4,930$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.08 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Falcons | 29c | 4,844$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.28 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colts | 70c | 4,835$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.32 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Falcons | 29c | 4,480$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Colts | 72c | 4,444$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.01 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…ebc1backed Colts | 60c | 4,435$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Falcons | 58c | 4,338$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Falcons | 55c | 4,182$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Colts | 72c | 4,014$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.89 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Colts | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Falcons | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Colts | 71c | 3,782$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.46 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Falcons | 26c | 3,767$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.1 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Colts | 72c | 3,623$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.45 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Colts | 74c | 3,621$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.45 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Falcons | 28c | 3,605$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.39 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Colts | 71c | 3,541$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.89 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9faf…778cbacked Colts | 72c | 3,472$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Colts | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Colts | 55c | 3,081$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.86 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Colts | 73c | 3,014$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.7 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…472ebacked Colts | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…fb60backed Falcons | 53c | 3,000$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Falcons | 48c | 2,987$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.59 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Falcons | 34c | 2,921$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.18 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Colts | 67c | 2,769$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.41 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Colts | 55c | 2,700$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.85 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Falcons | 29c | 2,576$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.11 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Colts | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Colts | 47c | 2,467$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.72 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Colts | 73c | 2,461$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.47 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Falcons | 41c | 2,449$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.2 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Colts | 47c | 2,420$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.72 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Falcons | 42c | 2,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed Falcons | 34c | 2,402$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Colts | 59c | 2,369$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.6 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Falcons | 32c | 2,343$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.25 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Colts | 76c | 2,276$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.39 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Colts | 49c | 2,232$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.39 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Colts | 73c | 2,224$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.53 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Falcons | 29c | 2,138$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.96 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Colts | 45c | 2,130$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.41 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Falcons | 58c | 2,024$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.2 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Falcons | 28c | 2,008$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.11 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Colts | 71c | 2,003$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…fed1backed Falcons | 29c | 2,003$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Colts | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Colts | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Colts | 43c | 2,000$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Colts | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Falcons vs. Coltsthis page
- 1H Spread: Colts (-3.5)Falcons won
- Falcons vs. Colts: 1H MoneylineFalcons won
- Falcons vs. Colts: O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Colts (-5.5)Colts won
- Spread: Colts (-6.5)Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.