NFL · resolved market
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0687e55e4c537313a5d4ff0ee83f0286c819e12be0893349f760577f493c0194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falconsof Colts, Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $416,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0549…c052backed Falcons | 52c | 76,207$39,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,579.17 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Colts | 48c | 70,000$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,600 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Colts | 48c | 50,932$24,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,658.97 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Falcons | 48c | 44,135$21,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,930.54 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Colts | 49c | 35,000$17,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,150 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Falcons | 53c | 30,451$16,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,175.37 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Colts | 47c | 26,000$12,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,220 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Colts | 46c | 23,312$10,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,782.77 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Falcons | 51c | 22,804$11,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,075.4 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Falcons | 52c | 21,811$11,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,491.14 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Colts | 48c | 18,414$8,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,901.77 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Colts | 53c | 13,968$7,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,403.25 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Falcons | 51c | 13,563$6,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,645.87 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Falcons | 52c | 12,500$6,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,950 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Colts | 48c | 12,300$5,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,883.5 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Falcons | 51c | 11,562$5,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,650.5 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colts | 46c | 11,500$5,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,290 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Falcons | 52c | 11,049$5,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,303.52 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Colts | 48c | 10,265$4,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,926.63 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Falcons | 52c | 9,738$5,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,674.24 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Colts | 53c | 9,490$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990.5 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Colts | 50c | 7,500$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.13 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Falcons | 53c | 6,427$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.03 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…ed90backed Colts | 47c | 6,219$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.69 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…adbfbacked Falcons | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Falcons | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Falcons | 52c | 5,689$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.88 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Colts | 53c | 5,000$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.1 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Falcons | 51c | 4,980$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.29 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Falcons | 51c | 4,224$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.11 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Falcons | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Colts | 48c | 3,600$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Falcons | 51c | 3,270$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.29 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Falcons | 52c | 2,227$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.05 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Colts | 16c | 2,155$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.2 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Colts | 49c | 2,097$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.55 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…c31fbacked Falcons | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Colts | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…b896backed Falcons | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Colts | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Colts | 48c | 1,982$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.02 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Colts | 53c | 1,945$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.78 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Colts | 48c | 1,750$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Falcons | 47c | 1,500$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Colts | 48c | 1,330$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.28 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Colts | 48c | 1,277$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.72 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Colts | 49c | 1,259$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Falcons | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Falcons | 55c | 1,127$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.27 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Colts | 48c | 1,091$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.58 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Colts | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Colts | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Falcons | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed Colts | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Colts | 47c | 874.47$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Colts | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Colts | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Colts | 48c | 747.92$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Falcons | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Falcons | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Falcons | 51c | 472.14$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.35 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Colts | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Colts | 48c | 384.67$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…d167backed Falcons | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Falcons | 53c | 332.93$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.09 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…0fd8backed Colts | 49c | 316.35$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Colts | 14c | 297$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed Falcons | 53c | 240.47$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Colts | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Colts | 49c | 204.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Colts | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Falcons | 51c | 204.07$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Falcons | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Colts | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Colts | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Colts | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Colts | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Falcons | 51c | 193$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed Falcons | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Falcons | 53c | 188.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Falcons | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa94d…087bbacked Falcons | 55c | 183.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Colts | 42c | 160$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Falcons | 51c | 146.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…3cbcbacked Colts | 48c | 137.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…3779backed Colts | 49c | 124$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Falcons | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Falcons | 74c | 117$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Colts | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Colts | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Colts | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Colts | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Falcons | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Falcons | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…8974backed Colts | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Colts | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Colts | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Falcons | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…ba22backed Colts | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Colts | 53c | 91.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colts (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Colts (-3.5)Falcons won
- Falcons vs. ColtsColts won
- Falcons vs. Colts: 1H MoneylineFalcons won
- Falcons vs. Colts: O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Colts (-5.5)Colts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.