NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaabc6970b0c19844e4babc0e71a3994877fad201eba43847d82a242eaae92c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,305,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,518,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,305,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,014 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Clippers | 26c | 1,275,662$331,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331,201.72 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Thunder | 74c | 1,081,083$800,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281,081.46 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Clippers | 27c | 186,409$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccca…3b2bbacked Clippers | 27c | 184,774$50,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,256.91 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Thunder | 73c | 150,000$109,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,499.99 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Thunder | 74c | 128,500$95,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,409.99 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Thunder | 74c | 118,656$87,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,961.18 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Thunder | 69c | 103,068$70,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,453.12 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Clippers | 26c | 91,842$23,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,843 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…d307backed Clippers | 36c | 70,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Thunder | 73c | 67,543$49,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,523.84 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Clippers | 27c | 58,503$15,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,714.72 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Thunder | 74c | 58,406$43,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,899.02 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Clippers | 21c | 50,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Thunder | 73c | 48,268$35,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,035.21 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Clippers | 36c | 47,918$17,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,218.88 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 73c | 47,857$34,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,979.53 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Thunder | 71c | 35,000$24,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,149.98 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Clippers | 36c | 32,884$11,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,988.5 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Thunder | 74c | 31,270$23,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,130.24 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Clippers | 39c | 29,467$11,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,503.03 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Thunder | 70c | 25,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Clippers | 26c | 20,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Thunder | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Clippers | 26c | 18,375$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,783.05 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Thunder | 74c | 17,700$13,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,602 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Clippers | 29c | 17,000$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.99 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 73c | 15,300$11,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 73c | 15,000$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Clippers | 1c | 14,708$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Thunder | 73c | 14,059$10,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.75 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Thunder | 72c | 13,889$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.89 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked Thunder | 74c | 13,871$10,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,606.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Thunder | 75c | 13,333$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Clippers | 16c | 11,400$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.79 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Clippers | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Clippers | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.88 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd076…d2efbacked Thunder | 12c | 9,318$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 27c | 9,204$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Clippers | 39c | 8,819$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440.79 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Clippers | 25c | 8,704$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.09 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Clippers | 27c | 8,652$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.42 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Thunder | 63c | 8,581$5,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.06 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Clippers | 7c | 8,300$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…fed1backed Thunder | 61c | 8,160$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.38 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 63c | 8,000$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.99 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Thunder | 73c | 7,960$5,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 72c | 7,705$5,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Thunder | 74c | 7,500$5,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Clippers | 26c | 7,500$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Clippers | 26c | 7,400$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.99 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e84…1ab4backed Clippers | 37c | 7,373$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Thunder | 75c | 7,333$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Clippers | 21c | 7,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Thunder | 74c | 7,000$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Clippers | 26c | 7,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.99 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd76e…225bbacked Clippers | 28c | 6,783$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 71c | 6,730$4,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.74 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Thunder | 73c | 6,623$4,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.19 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Thunder | 71c | 6,196$4,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.77 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Clippers | 6c | 5,900$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Clippers | 26c | 5,741$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.85 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Thunder | 74c | 5,646$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.88 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Thunder | 73c | 5,615$4,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.63 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Clippers | 30c | 5,327$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.68 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…4d28backed Clippers | 29c | 5,204$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Thunder | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Thunder | 70c | 5,000$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.36 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Thunder | 71c | 5,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.9 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Clippers | 9c | 4,999$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 78c | 4,870$3,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.57 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Thunder | 64c | 4,748$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.05 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Thunder | 64c | 4,698$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.65 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Clippers | 28c | 4,413$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.59 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c1…b8fabacked Thunder | 66c | 4,308$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Thunder | 73c | 4,307$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.89 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…a912backed Clippers | 38c | 4,202$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Thunder | 69c | 4,199$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.77 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Clippers | 24c | 4,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Clippers | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Thunder | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Clippers | 29c | 4,000$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Clippers | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Clippers | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Thunder | 75c | 3,920$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.1 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…5feabacked Thunder | 62c | 3,869$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.72 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Clippers | 29c | 3,774$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.85 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Clippers | 17c | 3,745$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.78 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Clippers | 17c | 3,740$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.33 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed Thunder | 71c | 3,522$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.54 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Thunder | 69c | 3,440$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.49 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac5…dee6backed Thunder | 75c | 3,433$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Clippers | 33c | 3,412$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.93 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…dbedbacked Thunder | 75c | 3,286$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Clippers | 26c | 3,250$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.87 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers | 26c | 3,104$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.06 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers | 21c | 3,086$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.71 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Clippersthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.