NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b6e63793b96416e1ee71ff10d848e2ac35f8d3e5405858839d393b45262162e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 50c | 10,655$5,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.95 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 46c | 6,221$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.29 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 47c | 5,635$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.09 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 54c | 4,062$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.55 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 47c | 3,822$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.34 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 50c | 3,574$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27eb…1cf4backed Over | 49c | 2,735$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…7497backed Over | 49c | 2,516$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…3251backed Under | 51c | 2,236$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 2,052$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…fa5ebacked Under | 51c | 2,028$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 55c | 2,012$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.32 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…0b8dbacked Under | 51c | 1,889$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…1fccbacked Under | 51c | 1,456$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…88f8backed Over | 49c | 1,401$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Over | 45c | 1,343$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.57 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 54c | 1,004$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.35 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…cb66backed Over | 49c | 957$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 887.45$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.11 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 48c | 607.63$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.97 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 577.43$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 45c | 412.36$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 393.84$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.92 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 48c | 312$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Over | 50c | 298$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 43c | 234.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Over | 46c | 219.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 52c | 185.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Under | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 42c | 169$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3126…9dabbacked Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 64cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…f2aabacked Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Over | 45c | 84.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 53c | 75.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…a58abacked Over | 44c | 68.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 57c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…8f4ebacked Under | 52c | 57.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…51dabacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…ba33backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…fea4backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Over | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21e…5e3ebacked Under | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b1…7d09backed Under | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. ClippersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.