NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e6b3355f55614f770fb881d08b1e7466d817d8418bf6e054746d4034fc04c11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 48c | 8,120$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917.02 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 7,966$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,846.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 54c | 4,365$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.63 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 46c | 2,846$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.82 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 48c | 1,031$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.14 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 46c | 405$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 44c | 357.14$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 337.38$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.94 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Under | 49c | 237.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Over | 52c | 191.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 52c | 157.69$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Over | 52c | 124$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb22…ce57backed Under | 50c | 100.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 53c | 88.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…9c55backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. ClippersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.