Tennis · resolved market
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3af1e63ac19238ad0a2bd4badbc7caefea2c0cf3a74a3debc893900a6de4abb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pegulaof Pegula, Paolini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Pegula | 79c | 11,793$9,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Paolini | 21c | 10,770$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.89 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paolini | 4c | 9,345$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.4 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Paolini | 0c | 6,518$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Paolini | 24c | 3,317$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.74 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Paolini | 5c | 3,082$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.3 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Paolini | 10c | 3,067$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.34 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…9c0fbacked Paolini | 25c | 2,705$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…35aabacked Pegula | 71c | 2,701$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Paolini | 11c | 2,485$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…82d3backed Pegula | 71c | 2,448$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…11aabacked Pegula | 71c | 2,379$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…6c30backed Paolini | 19c | 2,298$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.1 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pegula | 77c | 2,193$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.5 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Paolini | 25c | 2,018$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Paolini | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…cef0backed Paolini | 24c | 1,853$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…3f01backed Paolini | 22c | 1,838$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.3 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Paolini | 8c | 1,660$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Paolini | 6c | 1,581$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Paolini | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…3669backed Pegula | 71c | 1,454$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Paolini | 10c | 1,429$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.34 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Paolini | 25c | 1,400$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.91 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9646…bf2bbacked Paolini | 29c | 1,365$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b4…2256backed Paolini | 29c | 1,356$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…c6fdbacked Paolini | 29c | 1,345$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…6606backed Paolini | 29c | 1,345$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe6…9f5abacked Paolini | 29c | 1,325$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…2967backed Paolini | 29c | 1,256$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c42…3307backed Pegula | 71c | 1,256$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Paolini | 5c | 1,231$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pegula | 73c | 1,210$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.95 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Paolini | 23c | 1,152$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…b557backed Paolini | 29c | 1,149$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Paolini | 22c | 1,127$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26e…605ebacked Pegula | 71c | 1,125$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…0fe7backed Paolini | 29c | 1,123$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…51dbbacked Paolini | 29c | 1,123$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…3a28backed Pegula | 71c | 1,056$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…220dbacked Paolini | 29c | 1,032$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c52…2ae6backed Paolini | 29c | 1,023$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e9…933fbacked Pegula | 71c | 1,019$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…5841backed Pegula | 71c | 1,015$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd357…0c39backed Paolini | 29c | 1,011$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Paolini | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Paolini | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb874…e15ebacked Pegula | 71c | 996$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…623ebacked Paolini | 29c | 987$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…b4bcbacked Paolini | 29c | 978$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43d…8e4ebacked Pegula | 71c | 969$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…d34cbacked Paolini | 22c | 856.27$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.39 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Paolini | 15c | 830.64$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0b…006cbacked Pegula | 76c | 806$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Paolini | 27c | 801.02$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.21 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Pegula | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Paolini | 26c | 625.35$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.59 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pegula | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Paolini | 22c | 578.73$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.32 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Paolini | 7c | 550$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Paolini | 4c | 537.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…76c5backed Pegula | 76c | 524$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…fcf1backed Pegula | 76c | 523$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Paolini | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Paolini | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Paolini | 21c | 497.41$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1609…7b1fbacked Pegula | 76c | 445.51$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…63d8backed Paolini | 23c | 434.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Paolini | 3c | 429.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…8cb2backed Paolini | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Paolini | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 453 | 40%181 W · 272 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18eb…a597backed Paolini | 7c | 400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…bdc5backed Paolini | 25c | 397.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Paolini | 26c | 387.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pegula | 78c | 385$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Paolini | 26c | 360.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…6549backed Paolini | 28c | 357.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Pegula | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Pegula | 80c | 337.5$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Paolini | 21c | 326.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Pegula | 77c | 323.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Paolini | 24c | 319.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Paolini | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Pegula | 79c | 298.86$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Paolini | 6c | 285.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Pegula | 79c | 284.81$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e8…0ecabacked Pegula | 77c | 270$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…e267backed Paolini | 23c | 270$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…6fcebacked Pegula | 75c | 267.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Paolini | 9c | 262.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Paolini | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c1…3ac2backed Paolini | 23c | 217.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…4aa1backed Paolini | 21c | 205.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…442dbacked Pegula | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Pegula | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Paolini | 24c | 185.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…b65cbacked Pegula | 78c | 183.33$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Paolini | 8c | 181.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Paolini | 20c | 180$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Paolini | 8c | 177.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.