NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0262d18faa5442b4fdb0168fdff8c8ad9fca642bef8f669ec41c82e739293bd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 52c | 18,644$9,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,948.89 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 48c | 13,905$6,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,674.4 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Under | 48c | 3,271$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.1 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…23ebbacked Over | 51c | 2,176$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,085$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…e6b0backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b3…ed48backed Over | 50c | 1,850$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…970bbacked Over | 51c | 1,747$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 48c | 1,479$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 1,254$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.1 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…67c9backed Under | 49c | 1,123$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce5…65d7backed Under | 48c | 1,056$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0f…369fbacked Under | 49c | 1,053$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…7465backed Under | 50c | 983$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…e331backed Under | 49c | 878$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…219ebacked Under | 49c | 869$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0575…7e28backed Under | 50c | 867$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 716.84$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.08 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 48c | 541$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.68 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Under | 48c | 274$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.52 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…cefebacked Under | 50c | 203.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 49c | 140$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Over | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5223…29d9backed Under | 51c | 28.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. IslandersWild won
- Wild vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.