NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91d65f1b6cad9262aeef2113956d97ba8652d1b792ad6e661f49a15df1ef7115
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $382,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 482 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Warriors | 6c | 50,021$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.29 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…1290backed Warriors | 14c | 13,889$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.81 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Timberwolves | 72c | 10,646$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.18 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…2a12backed Warriors | 50c | 10,070$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,017.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Warriors | 23c | 8,296$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.84 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…c556backed Warriors | 1c | 7,075$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Timberwolves | 77c | 7,041$5,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.03 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…3cffbacked Warriors | 45c | 5,379$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…fa20backed Warriors | 38c | 5,332$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ec…f8b2backed Timberwolves | 51c | 5,000$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Timberwolves | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.95 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebf…6961backed Warriors | 48c | 5,000$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 4,897$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.44 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 15c | 4,419$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.88 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,133$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.58 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Warriors | 49c | 4,024$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.1 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…31a4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 3,906$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.1 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Timberwolves | 70c | 3,640$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.91 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Warriors | 51c | 3,431$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Warriors | 6c | 3,298$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.42 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Warriors | 50c | 3,269$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 3,179$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.8 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 3,065$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.92 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Warriors | 16c | 2,954$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.69 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…4676backed Timberwolves | 65c | 2,880$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Warriors | 40c | 2,707$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.87 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Warriors | 35c | 2,678$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.05 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 2,503$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.92 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105e…4741backed Warriors | 21c | 2,356$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.62 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Warriors | 54c | 2,266$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.12 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Timberwolves | 70c | 2,252$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.85 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 77c | 2,084$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.31 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,050$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Warriors | 50c | 2,048$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.51 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Warriors | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Warriors | 51c | 1,962$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.41 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Warriors | 49c | 1,940$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.6 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Warriors | 1c | 1,912$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b8…3bfcbacked Warriors | 39c | 1,903$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Warriors | 22c | 1,749$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.88 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Warriors | 41c | 1,734$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.35 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,728$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.71 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Warriors | 49c | 1,685$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.43 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Warriors | 50c | 1,602$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.71 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,558$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.7 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,505$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.55 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Timberwolves | 71c | 1,500$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…2c31backed Warriors | 28c | 1,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Warriors | 20c | 1,419$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.82 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Timberwolves | 74c | 1,410$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.75 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Timberwolves | 75c | 1,400$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f6…5669backed Warriors | 51c | 1,353$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…b02dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,348$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 1,273$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.59 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,259$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.45 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Warriors | 40c | 1,230$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.74 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…29bfbacked Warriors | 53c | 1,145$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db4…487abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 1,083$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,046$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.34 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,046$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.8 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Warriors | 39c | 1,016$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.26 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Warriors | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…a3f0backed Warriors | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 51c | 1,000$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.97 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Warriors | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Timberwolves | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Timberwolves | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Warriors | 53c | 959.06$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.61 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…3c41backed Timberwolves | 52c | 955.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Warriors | 37c | 949.98$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors | 47c | 935.48$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.43 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 910.75$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.4 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Warriors | 53c | 853.6$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.98 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 827.48$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Warriors | 12c | 800.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Timberwolves | 60c | 758.42$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.71 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Warriors | 43c | 753.9$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.85 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Warriors | 42c | 743$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.18 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Timberwolves | 49c | 695.69$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.94 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Warriors | 51c | 683.42$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.54 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Warriors | 16c | 678.29$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…334abacked Warriors | 40c | 630$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.7 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 629.22$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.22 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Warriors | 37c | 607.08$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.03 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Warriors | 50c | 600$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.09 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…cb69backed Timberwolves | 50c | 561.48$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…779abacked Timberwolves | 67c | 556.22$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.05 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…2270backed Warriors | 54c | 549.73$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Timberwolves | 50c | 535.98$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.01 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5a…3a8ebacked Warriors | 4c | 517.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Warriors | 39c | 506.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 500$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.67 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Timberwolves | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.