NFL · resolved market
Jaguars vs. Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1afc8d6d150bb942af398a2e615ddfadf83517234e32ba67adc47feda90d803
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Jaguars, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,822,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,871,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,822,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 933 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Texans | 53c | 672,033$353,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318,458.55 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jaguars | 47c | 500,074$235,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235,450.29 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Jaguars | 48c | 190,763$92,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,066.42 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Texans | 52c | 186,171$96,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,862.06 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Jaguars | 48c | 148,650$71,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,352.09 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Texans | 51c | 139,903$71,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,714.2 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Jaguars | 49c | 135,664$66,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,384.11 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Texans | 51c | 120,000$61,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,599.89 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Texans | 56c | 77,761$43,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,971.05 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Jaguars | 49c | 56,157$27,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,525.88 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Texans | 49c | 52,460$25,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,497.93 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Texans | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,499.97 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Texans | 19c | 49,917$9,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,395.52 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Texans | 52c | 47,500$24,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,800 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Texans | 48c | 41,967$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,967.33 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Texans | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,199.95 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Texans | 49c | 35,552$17,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,218.23 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jaguars | 49c | 34,605$17,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,007.71 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jaguars | 47c | 33,935$15,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,990.85 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Jaguars | 46c | 27,772$12,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,787.12 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Jaguars | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Jaguars | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,249.98 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…10c9backed Jaguars | 0c | 20,401$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Jaguars | 48c | 20,326$9,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,756.3 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Jaguars | 49c | 19,980$9,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,691.09 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Jaguars | 48c | 18,325$8,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,856.25 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Texans | 55c | 17,993$9,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,165.18 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texans | 38c | 17,431$6,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,868.43 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…fb11backed Jaguars | 74c | 17,290$12,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,735.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…817ebacked Jaguars | 23c | 16,308$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.12 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Texans | 80c | 16,000$12,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Jaguars | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Jaguars | 50c | 14,811$7,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,405.5 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…fed1backed Texans | 52c | 14,500$7,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,960 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Jaguars | 49c | 14,500$7,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,104.88 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Texans | 62c | 14,374$8,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,429.83 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Texans | 51c | 14,000$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,860 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Jaguars | 49c | 14,000$6,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,860 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Jaguars | 47c | 13,271$6,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,184.78 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Texans | 53c | 13,089$6,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,151.81 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Texans | 52c | 12,506$6,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,003.49 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Jaguars | 48c | 11,332$5,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,474.78 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Jaguars | 49c | 10,592$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,190 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Texans | 51c | 10,549$5,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,169.02 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Jaguars | 49c | 9,859$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,831 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Jaguars | 49c | 9,786$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.42 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Texans | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c15…7a9fbacked Texans | 50c | 8,950$4,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,475 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jaguars | 64c | 8,933$5,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,693.01 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…0dc7backed Texans | 49c | 8,924$4,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,551.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Texans | 49c | 8,734$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473.59 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Jaguars | 47c | 8,657$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068.79 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Jaguars | 49c | 8,656$4,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,241.44 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Jaguars | 57c | 8,495$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,831.27 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…d0a2backed Jaguars | 49c | 8,451$4,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,141 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jaguars | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Jaguars | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jaguars | 49c | 6,892$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jaguars | 76c | 6,705$5,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,090.26 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Jaguars | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Jaguars | 52c | 5,732$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jaguars | 49c | 5,730$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.69 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jaguars | 77c | 5,580$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277.28 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Jaguars | 53c | 5,500$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…ed90backed Texans | 52c | 5,410$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.44 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jaguars | 48c | 5,132$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.36 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5e…f831backed Jaguars | 51c | 5,130$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Texans | 46c | 5,117$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.16 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Jaguars | 47c | 5,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Jaguars | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…2e33backed Texans | 66c | 5,000$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Jaguars | 48c | 5,000$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.63 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jaguars | 55c | 4,831$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.4 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Texans | 49c | 4,512$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.88 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texans | 30c | 4,487$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.19 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa795…c5c6backed Texans | 51c | 4,280$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Jaguars | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…8f8cbacked Jaguars | 49c | 4,130$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Texans | 72c | 4,012$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.34 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Texans | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Jaguars | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Texans | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…79f7backed Jaguars | 51c | 3,984$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0203…879cbacked Jaguars | 50c | 3,829$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Jaguars | 49c | 3,356$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.66 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Texans | 51c | 3,261$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.3 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…4fdcbacked Jaguars | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…2fd8backed Jaguars | 80c | 3,186$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jaguars | 1c | 3,160$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Jaguars | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7b…5608backed Jaguars | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed Jaguars | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…5ea1backed Jaguars | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…af12backed Texans | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…baccbacked Texans | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e5…d41fbacked Texans | 10c | 3,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Jaguars | 56c | 2,666$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Texans | 52c | 2,622$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.63 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Jaguars | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Texans | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jaguars vs. Texansthis page
- 1H Spread: Texans (-0.5)Jaguars won
- Jaguars vs. Texans: 1H MoneylineJaguars won
- Jaguars vs. Texans: 1H O/U 17.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Texans: 1H O/U 18.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Texans: 1H O/U 19.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Texans: O/U 37.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Texans: O/U 38.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Texans: O/U 39.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Texans: O/U 41.5Over won
- Spread: Jaguars (-1.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-1.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-3.5)Texans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.