NFL · resolved market
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c5c7e9cd69a18efa5c1f946221c6667d7d2f496ed19e546b61a497eaa3aa6ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Texans, Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $571,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $571,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Texans | 57c | 310,091$176,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,840.91 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Jaguars | 42c | 136,821$56,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,816.85 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Jaguars | 44c | 105,427$46,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,151.76 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Jaguars | 49c | 43,560$21,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,481.42 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jaguars | 42c | 24,283$10,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,143.57 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Jaguars | 43c | 22,096$9,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,501.2 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jaguars | 58c | 21,853$12,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,729.09 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Jaguars | 41c | 11,528$4,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,744 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Jaguars | 43c | 11,303$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860.32 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b68…6d02backed Jaguars | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +136.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Jaguars | 61c | 9,400$5,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,734.01 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Jaguars | 40c | 9,348$3,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,739.1 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Jaguars | 43c | 8,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Jaguars | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +931.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Jaguars | 60c | 5,885$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,530.75 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Jaguars | 43c | 5,700$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Jaguars | 62c | 3,187$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Texans | 59c | 2,904$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.6 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Jaguars | 61c | 2,236$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.18 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Jaguars | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Texans | 59c | 1,759$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.65 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Jaguars | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Jaguars | 60c | 824.68$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.81 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Jaguars | 44c | 824.23$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.14 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Jaguars | 57c | 816$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.58 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…bbfcbacked Jaguars | 62c | 809$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Texans | 40c | 676$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.96 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Jaguars | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Texans | 39c | 597$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.66 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Jaguars | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Jaguars | 62c | 505$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.1 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Jaguars | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Jaguars | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Jaguars | 49c | 426.63$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.56 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…5fe5backed Jaguars | 62c | 387.03$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Texans | 38c | 380.86$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.59 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd9…00b1backed Jaguars | 59c | 351$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…3bffbacked Texans | 38c | 345$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0db…5dd2backed Texans | 39c | 326.9$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Jaguars | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Jaguars | 62c | 266$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Jaguars | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…1b06backed Texans | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Texans | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…4e91backed Texans | 39c | 246.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ee…5800backed Jaguars | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Jaguars | 60c | 219.07$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…173abacked Texans | 38c | 214$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Jaguars | 46c | 212.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Jaguars | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…7ff5backed Jaguars | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…51dabacked Jaguars | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Jaguars | 62c | 120.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…31c8backed Texans | 57c | 106$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Texans | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Texans | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 184 | 27.7%51 W · 133 L | -18.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…d8edbacked Texans | 39c | 86.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texans | 39c | 81.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Jaguars | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Jaguars | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…310cbacked Jaguars | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Jaguars | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Jaguars | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a0…29acbacked Jaguars | 62c | 58.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02e2…8869backed Jaguars | 63c | 50.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Texans | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…8e45backed Jaguars | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…0f1bbacked Jaguars | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Texans | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe2…1bb4backed Jaguars | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc597…4ee7backed Jaguars | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…13d8backed Jaguars | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Jaguars | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…32dfbacked Jaguars | 62c | 47.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Texans | 40c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…67e3backed Jaguars | 62c | 40.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…310dbacked Jaguars | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…22ebbacked Jaguars | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a1…ac8ebacked Jaguars | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…5593backed Jaguars | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…2414backed Jaguars | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa477…c9c2backed Jaguars | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed Jaguars | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked Jaguars | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…e82abacked Jaguars | 62c | 40.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Jaguars | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jaguars | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…8a5bbacked Jaguars | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…1e6abacked Jaguars | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2d…996bbacked Texans | 39c | 39.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Jaguars | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…8ddebacked Jaguars | 63c | 37.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cd…a5f5backed Texans | 40c | 37.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…873cbacked Jaguars | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…c740backed Jaguars | 62c | 33.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c0…2099backed Jaguars | 63c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…47e3backed Jaguars | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c99…2c2abacked Jaguars | 63c | 30.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acd…664abacked Jaguars | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…33bfbacked Texans | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texans (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Texans (-0.5)Jaguars won
- Jaguars vs. TexansTexans won
- Jaguars vs. Texans: 1H MoneylineJaguars won
- Jaguars vs. Texans: 1H O/U 17.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Texans: 1H O/U 18.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Texans: 1H O/U 19.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Texans: O/U 37.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Texans: O/U 38.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Texans: O/U 39.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Texans: O/U 41.5Over won
- Spread: Jaguars (-1.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-1.5)Texans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.