NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc828574758ef29c5db61a92685719404174fe0c8d616932d70fbdd4213f03c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,003,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $997,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,003,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 602 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Nets | 19c | 200,161$37,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,522.6 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Timberwolves | 80c | 142,324$113,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,957.08 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Nets | 19c | 110,898$21,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,070.61 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves | 79c | 27,559$21,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,678.16 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Nets | 22c | 26,829$5,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,983.88 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Nets | 22c | 25,450$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,498.89 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e23ebacked Nets | 22c | 22,208$4,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,907.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nets | 22c | 20,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Timberwolves | 50c | 18,344$9,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,172 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +241.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0649…52adbacked Nets | 50c | 18,344$9,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,172 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 18,215$14,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825.18 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Timberwolves | 78c | 15,787$12,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473.15 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Timberwolves | 78c | 14,292$11,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Nets | 22c | 12,345$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.82 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…170cbacked Nets | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Nets | 20c | 10,999$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.88 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nets | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.96 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nets | 22c | 9,724$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.51 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 21c | 8,659$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…2461backed Timberwolves | 78c | 7,650$5,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…ac68backed Nets | 20c | 7,584$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Nets | 16c | 7,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…1477backed Nets | 18c | 6,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6763…bdc9backed Timberwolves | 78c | 6,350$4,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…2e9dbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 6,258$4,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Nets | 22c | 5,815$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.34 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Nets | 0c | 5,410$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Nets | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Timberwolves | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Timberwolves | 78c | 4,655$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.79 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Timberwolves | 77c | 4,444$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Nets | 21c | 4,444$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.35 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Timberwolves | 78c | 4,411$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.12 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Timberwolves | 78c | 4,262$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.64 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Timberwolves | 77c | 4,010$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.3 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Nets | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Nets | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nets | 21c | 3,937$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.69 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Timberwolves | 78c | 3,500$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Timberwolves | 78c | 3,169$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.01 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed Timberwolves | 75c | 3,021$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.79 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8abd…a8c8backed Timberwolves | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…2e64backed Nets | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Nets | 22c | 2,562$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.64 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Nets | 21c | 2,501$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.24 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nets | 8c | 2,209$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.21 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Nets | 24c | 2,185$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.42 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Nets | 22c | 2,105$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets | 8c | 2,088$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b50…c7ebbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 2,072$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.09 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa05…6302backed Timberwolves | 79c | 2,066$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…5d92backed Nets | 22c | 2,064$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 23c | 2,050$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…8d6cbacked Nets | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…a34dbacked Nets | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7a79backed Timberwolves | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Nets | 22c | 2,000$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.64 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Nets | 17c | 1,999$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.82 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…e55abacked Timberwolves | 78c | 1,950$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Nets | 19c | 1,855$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nets | 21c | 1,819$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.42 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…dbf6backed Timberwolves | 74c | 1,818$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.77 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 1,800$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…472ebacked Timberwolves | 77c | 1,750$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.5 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Nets | 21c | 1,688$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.87 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Nets | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Timberwolves | 77c | 1,605$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.15 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Timberwolves | 76c | 1,595$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.53 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…d055backed Nets | 22c | 1,455$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…a9babacked Timberwolves | 78c | 1,450$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Nets | 21c | 1,432$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.94 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2e…0a59backed Nets | 23c | 1,413$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…7dd6backed Nets | 23c | 1,413$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Nets | 22c | 1,400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006f…b3efbacked Nets | 23c | 1,400$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…7fd1backed Nets | 23c | 1,391$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0407backed Nets | 10c | 1,353$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e7…1036backed Nets | 23c | 1,348$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…881ebacked Nets | 23c | 1,345$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Nets | 22c | 1,333$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.26 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…c795backed Nets | 23c | 1,310$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…b9f6backed Timberwolves | 78c | 1,310$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…196cbacked Nets | 19c | 1,302$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.43 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…de68backed Nets | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 1,272$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.74 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Timberwolves | 79c | 1,265$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.74 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d7…36fbbacked Nets | 9c | 1,255$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Nets | 22c | 1,120$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.4 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nets | 2c | 1,100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…8251backed Nets | 20c | 1,017$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.92 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Timberwolves | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Nets | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Nets | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…fbcebacked Nets | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3190…9ebcbacked Nets | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Nets | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…c552backed Timberwolves | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…9c77backed Timberwolves | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nets | 3c | 1,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Nets | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Netsthis page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nets: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.