Golf · resolved market

Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabdb127fdd57bd7746ab1f2b5bce6110ea2eb79b47b5689dab0801735be0c3f7

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,535 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x929a…a3d8backed Yes	38c	1,321$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$821.05	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	62c	1,077$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.98	233	19.3%45 W · 188 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed No	32c	582$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.86	120	57.5%69 W · 51 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	57c	544.94$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.54	137	39.4%54 W · 83 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Yes	41c	294.45$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.18	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-83.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes	43c	292$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.44	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	28cpaid	+78.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f1…7da3backed Yes	5c	229.6$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.89	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.88per pick	12cpaid	+1,159.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	-8.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad3f…a377backed Yes	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	77c	190.89$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.6	84	29.8%25 W · 59 L	-7.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked No	64c	153$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.39	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+296.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked No	63c	150$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.5	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Yes	38c	105.54$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.94	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	29cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked No	62c	100$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No	64c	100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x935b…5c4bbacked Yes	36c	100$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb69…361ebacked Yes	53c	85.15$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.02	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	63c	80$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x524a…3bb2backed Yes	38c	77.39$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.98	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No	42c	52.45$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.86	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	62c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No	63c	50$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.19per pick	50cpaid	-34%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No	62c	48.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.36	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes	69c	47$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.77	43	79.1%34 W · 9 L	+8.6wins	+0.20per pick	59cpaid	+42.6%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf0d3…cae1backed Yes	56c	44.2$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.45	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	44c	44.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.45	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	61c	27.54$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked No	62c	21.05$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.05	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	26	80.8%21 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	74cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event