Golf · resolved market

Will Viktor Hovland finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6da0e53f7c049836be69829e1b686b75488cc5aa212dff43508d5c0c48d1292

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,607
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,844

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,607 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	79c	233$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.93	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	23c	165.2$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	233	19.3%45 W · 188 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed No	77c	157.89$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.31	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes	21c	133$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.93	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	77c	121.19$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.47	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	16c	105$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked No	77c	44$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.12	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No	76c	39.99$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	74c	23.24$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.04	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed No	74c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Viktor Hovland finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event