Golf · resolved market

Will Cameron Young finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34a96a1405d9a2331e3f98090f6ef292ff129ac747aa5de2e9c3ad0b32bf9282

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,493 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes	47c	2,578$1,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,360.3	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	28cpaid	+78.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	49c	2,103$1,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,034.06	137	39.4%54 W · 83 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes	59c	340.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.64	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf006…bb6cbacked No	53c	260$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.8	95	54.7%52 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No	52c	228$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.41	84	29.8%25 W · 59 L	-7.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	-8.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	45c	120$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	52c	72.8$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.9	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	65c	72$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.31	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed No	52c	52.5$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	120	57.5%69 W · 51 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No	56c	52.5$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed No	54c	47.6$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.89	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-31%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Cameron Young finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event