TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Robert MacIntyre finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,734 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No75c1,148$865 inWon+$282.9723319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929a…a3d8backed Yes25c800$200 inLost-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed No78c480.72$376 inWon+$104.9412057.5%69 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Yes19c400$74 inLost-$746214.5%9 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes24c340.76$82 inLost-$81.765226.9%14 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes42c293.6$123 inLost-$122.982638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+78.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No57c286.4$163 inWon+$123.157031.4%22 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Yes43c150$64 inLost-$64.27529.3%22 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2267…3355backed No77c101.16$78 inWon+$23.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e35…8fa4backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost-$201513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No58c57.2$33 inWon+$24.025540%22 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed No79c54.24$43 inWon+$11.392437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No79c54.23$43 inWon+$11.393534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes34c40$14 inLost-$13.622546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed No67c40$27 inWon+$13.23046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes33c40$13 inLost-$13.218446.2%85 W · 99 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No64c38$24 inWon+$13.645250%26 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No66c32$21 inWon+$10.888429.8%25 W · 59 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc320…3d45backed Yes39c32$12 inLost-$12.481136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes37c32$12 inLost-$11.842953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No79c21$17 inWon+$4.411656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+48.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No79c20$16 inWon+$4.25650%28 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.