Golf · resolved market

Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe2fbcb505e5ccfe3743124e88e06de54e3cdd435f45db2bc8c10e4e2e003b65

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,320 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	19c	1,297$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.47	137	39.4%54 W · 83 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes	30c	635$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.2	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	28cpaid	+78.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No	70c	585$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.5	70	31.4%22 W · 48 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	55c	199.98$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.99	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	-8.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed Yes	20c	195.68$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.36	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes	42c	150$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	20c	122.36$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.47	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	33c	120.8$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.15	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	74c	109.8$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.67	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	11c	100.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.01	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed No	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.5	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5102…7b08backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+18%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed No	58c	96.34$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.69	43	79.1%34 W · 9 L	+8.6wins	+0.20per pick	59cpaid	+42.6%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed No	69c	80.74$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.71	120	57.5%69 W · 51 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No	78c	80.42$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.69	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes	19c	80$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes	20c	75.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.08	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes	45c	73$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.85	225	46.7%105 W · 120 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe45c…f439backed Yes	15c	65.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked Yes	17c	64$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf006…bb6cbacked No	79c	55.63$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	95	54.7%52 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc5…c64dbacked No	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.3	102	68.6%70 W · 32 L	+14.0wins	+0.14per pick	55cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed No	70c	36.38$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.09	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-31%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	34c	34.54$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	84	29.8%25 W · 59 L	-7.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed No	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	79cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event