NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1479a504ebfb039d6125599d35051f4ec42847165b59c6f2f2501b0f5b822bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Timberwolves, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,548,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,895,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,548,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 661 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 25c | 649,380$162,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162,197.44 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Kings | 27c | 201,330$55,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,204.15 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Kings | 8c | 162,892$13,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,246.98 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Timberwolves | 44c | 150,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,999.92 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Kings | 19c | 59,280$10,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,312.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +440.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Kings | 21c | 40,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,599.77 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…4282backed Timberwolves | 61c | 38,293$23,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,200.12 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 67c | 34,665$23,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,285.23 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Timberwolves | 79c | 31,646$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Kings | 20c | 27,344$5,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,821.76 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Kings | 35c | 26,229$9,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,953.03 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Timberwolves | 80c | 25,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings | 20c | 19,774$3,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,806.65 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves | 67c | 19,211$12,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,935.67 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Timberwolves | 34c | 17,518$5,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,897.36 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Kings | 15c | 16,660$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,160.98 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -62%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Kings | 20c | 16,000$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,719.85 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…bd81backed Timberwolves | 54c | 14,470$7,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,854.11 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Kings | 45c | 13,620$6,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,546.86 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 11,844$7,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,327.36 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 68c | 11,748$8,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,020.78 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 66c | 11,555$7,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.15 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Kings | 37c | 10,504$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,595.97 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Kings | 20c | 10,210$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,210.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 21c | 10,100$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,979 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…0bd9backed Timberwolves | 0c | 10,073$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Timberwolves | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.91 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 8,929$7,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,128.38 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 79c | 8,872$7,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,007.98 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Kings | 15c | 8,333$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,083.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Kings | 13c | 7,270$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,335.48 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 19c | 7,131$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,763.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 19c | 6,562$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,315.61 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 62c | 6,415$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.69 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Timberwolves | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 43c | 5,992$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.88 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 21c | 5,987$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,717.27 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Kings | 21c | 5,890$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,646.01 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Kings | 66c | 5,828$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.99 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Timberwolves | 80c | 5,716$4,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,570.31 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 21c | 5,007$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,937.65 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf90…fa89backed Kings | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…51e3backed Kings | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.85 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Timberwolves | 80c | 4,963$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.16 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Timberwolves | 80c | 4,563$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.64 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1517…5b34backed Kings | 79c | 4,476$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.61 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Kings | 20c | 4,445$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 4,390$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.33 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Kings | 33c | 4,279$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.77 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings | 20c | 4,131$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325.15 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 80c | 4,020$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcb…d8d7backed Timberwolves | 2c | 3,990$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 3,782$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.39 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc90…ec0cbacked Timberwolves | 3c | 3,499$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Kings | 29c | 3,077$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.01 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…31cbbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 3,035$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.01 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Kings | 20c | 3,003$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.17 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kings | 21c | 2,910$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.88 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…0d24backed Kings | 15c | 2,888$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.18 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Kings | 18c | 2,722$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.98 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…bfb8backed Kings | 22c | 2,559$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Kings | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…7954backed Kings | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed Kings | 14c | 2,468$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.85 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 2,291$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.46 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 37c | 2,246$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.53 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Kings | 9c | 2,200$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 2,178$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.14 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 12c | 2,077$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.39 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings | 21c | 2,000$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.45 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Kings | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Timberwolves | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.98 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed2…15ecbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,950$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Timberwolves | 79c | 1,858$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Kings | 22c | 1,831$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.22 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…54e1backed Kings | 22c | 1,818$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…61c6backed Timberwolves | 79c | 1,818$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Timberwolves | 56c | 1,752$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.92 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a80…44e7backed Kings | 6c | 1,700$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +202.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3569…8c8dbacked Kings | 19c | 1,600$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 1,590$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.42 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Timberwolves | 58c | 1,552$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Timberwolves | 35c | 1,546$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.59 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Kings | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Kings | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Timberwolves | 79c | 1,440$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.6 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Timberwolves | 18c | 1,434$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Kings | 7c | 1,427$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.24 | 479 | 49.7%238 W · 241 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Timberwolves | 69c | 1,400$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings | 43c | 1,388$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.98 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Kings | 42c | 1,288$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.14 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kings | 39c | 1,221$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.28 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Kings | 18c | 1,206$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.72 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…673fbacked Kings | 19c | 1,200$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Timberwolves | 79c | 1,177$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kings | 20c | 1,158$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.76 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Kings | 37c | 1,130$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.77 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 80c | 1,116$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.77 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 18c | 1,115$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.14 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Kingsthis page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Kings won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Kings won
- Timberwolves vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Kings: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Kings: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 236.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 237.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 238.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.