TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Timberwolves, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,853
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,853 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Timberwolves55c105,683$57,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,751.3625248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Kings46c78,824$36,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,579.861,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Timberwolves54c50,936$27,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,505.4315443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Kings45c25,369$11,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,828.9559347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Kings45c20,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,00059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings45c16,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kings46c10,037$4,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,444.741,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings46c7,304$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.139,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves53c4,667$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,458.5780146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves52c4,518$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.451,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Timberwolves54c4,500$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.9947748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Timberwolves51c4,078$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea27…19c6backed Kings52c3,625$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.794057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Kings46c3,001$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.647751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Kings48c2,840$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.829351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3253,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Kings47c1,618$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.732,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac28…b1a5backed Timberwolves50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5276…74ddbacked Timberwolves51c1,373$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Kings50c1,218$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.0374748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Kings48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62433945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Kings49c1,051$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.732,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings46c1,051$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.5469852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Kings49c1,030$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.282,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings46c1,011$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Kings48c978$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.7585742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Timberwolves53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014156%79 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Timberwolves54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Timberwolves56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e15…53fabacked Kings46c864.13$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.631338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings44c796.43$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4465,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aad…4741backed Timberwolves55c540$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2976065%39 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd509…b06abacked Kings46c539.13$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.134037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Kings53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfc…0fc2backed Kings50c494.29$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.866251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Timberwolves55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019845.5%90 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1377…56aebacked Timberwolves50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007447.3%35 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd4…6ebcbacked Timberwolves52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003850%19 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves50c372.45$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.232,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Timberwolves51c232.24$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11813644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Timberwolves50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Timberwolves50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves48c194.65$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.54,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Kings48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Kings44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8435447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Kings46c137$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7523348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings46c133$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.828,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1caa…9573backed Kings51c127.45$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Timberwolves54c125$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.511951.3%61 W · 58 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bce…de25backed Kings51c119.61$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked Kings48c106.25$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2512048.3%58 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings47c100.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.581,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Kings52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4854951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0c…6825backed Kings52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486058.3%35 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ae4…a127backed Kings51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4911041.8%46 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e601backed Kings51c99.27$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6413550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Timberwolves49c98.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2720542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc5…6092backed Kings53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+80.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Kings46c81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.741,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Kings49c81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3134451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves48c76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.481,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Timberwolves48c75.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.212342.3%52 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebac…be55backed Timberwolves68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012153.7%65 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings48c73.17$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.813,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b4…e064backed Timberwolves56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011946.2%55 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings32c50.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.213,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Kings47c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Kings47c49.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5262349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34da…367fbacked Kings51c49.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.487557.3%43 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Kings45c48.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4676247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a52…9ad6backed Kings48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Kings49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8249852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19a7…3ec1backed Kings51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.229348.4%45 W · 48 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3552…f07bbacked Timberwolves53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016849.4%83 W · 85 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Kings47c37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6373445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Timberwolves55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves48c34.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.412,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Timberwolves53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.97050%35 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Kings47c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3934053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Kings47c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3931754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Kings47c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3934254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Timberwolves49c28.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1419849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b8…3c28backed Timberwolves55c25.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416944.4%75 W · 94 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Timberwolves53c24.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322342.2%94 W · 129 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Kings47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7223753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Kings47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7227350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Kings47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7222048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Kings47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7232649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Kings47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7223850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Kings47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7211741.9%49 W · 68 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Kings47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7227251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Kings47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7225250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Kings47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7231852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Kings47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7227353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Kings47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7227150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kings49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Kings47c23.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7213155%72 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Kings50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1019543.1%84 W · 111 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97f1…c325backed Timberwolves53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.68149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.