TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$588,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$632,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,711 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 991 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Jazz8c33,000$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.4527041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Jazz5c31,760$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.947144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz0c17,591$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.971,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Jazz7c14,510$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.5847448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Timberwolves75c13,388$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,387.9634062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Jazz6c11,171$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Timberwolves74c10,650$7,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800.977468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz1c9,780$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.668783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Jazz25c7,184$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.9219249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Jazz27c7,000$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.7936148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz11c6,630$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Timberwolves73c6,500$4,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,73031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz0c5,997$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.987211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Jazz1c5,639$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.661,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd958…0e3cbacked Jazz27c5,500$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd5d…9a7fbacked Jazz27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…51e3backed Jazz2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Jazz6c4,877$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.682442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jazz26c4,076$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.842,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Jazz26c4,019$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.8795049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945b…27c7backed Jazz27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Jazz26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9518142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Jazz26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.936636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Jazz31c3,169$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.0326038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz27c3,089$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.121,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz3c3,023$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.623,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz27c3,003$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.322,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Jazz27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81020453.9%110 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Timberwolves73c3,000$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.9744459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Jazz26c2,966$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.0927051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz9c2,707$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.031,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Timberwolves72c2,661$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.1378445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Jazz1c2,661$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.451088.3%9 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Timberwolves72c2,548$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.3223135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jazz8c2,540$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.562,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Jazz45c2,516$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.3111344.2%50 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Jazz3c2,500$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.017140.8%29 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b48…1769backed Jazz27c2,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz27c2,409$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.51,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Jazz1c2,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.257502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Timberwolves73c2,298$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.5355346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz25c2,292$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.163,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200e…7d37backed Jazz2c2,280$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.841154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jazz27c2,216$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.51,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Timberwolves74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52051753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee2e…f422backed Timberwolves74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5204259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd3…c333backed Timberwolves73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Timberwolves73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9861835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Jazz26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9823644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Jazz27c1,905$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.4771052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f83…7252backed Jazz2c1,828$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.022910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff0c…c3e4backed Timberwolves73c1,800$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+145.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Timberwolves78c1,790$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.385344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Jazz1c1,606$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5813831.2%43 W · 95 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf680…63eabacked Timberwolves73c1,600$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+120.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74c…afb1backed Timberwolves73c1,600$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc903…9f8fbacked Timberwolves73c1,600$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Timberwolves63c1,581$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.059549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bcc…2077backed Timberwolves73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b26…e5edbacked Timberwolves73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+94.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Jazz26c1,499$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.6543247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves74c1,434$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.4285742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7426…b4f5backed Timberwolves73c1,400$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Timberwolves73c1,400$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3787640.8%31 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61cd…528cbacked Timberwolves73c1,400$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked Timberwolves73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8618764.7%121 W · 66 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x440f…b7d8backed Timberwolves73c1,300$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…9982backed Timberwolves73c1,300$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Timberwolves73c1,227$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.2994951.3%487 W · 462 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…a3b1backed Jazz3c1,200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Jazz2c1,150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330444.7%136 W · 168 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jazz25c1,142$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.412,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcf…a59cbacked Timberwolves73c1,100$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2971080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+63.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1161…ed62backed Timberwolves74c1,081$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.086058.3%35 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Jazz29c1,000$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.016659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz33c938.76$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.265,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x975e…60f7backed Jazz27c800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099e…4ad4backed Timberwolves73c799.98$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz26c798.2$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.643,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6f…0442backed Jazz28c785.71$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22014264.8%92 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e20…8e0ebacked Jazz21c765.38$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.735030%15 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3928…15e4backed Timberwolves77c750$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Jazz27c747$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6969852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Jazz27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008438.1%32 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Timberwolves69c730.09$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4247856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ee…700bbacked Jazz14c715.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012830.5%39 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x722c…1011backed Jazz10c709.14$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.692941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.931,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf28…72aabacked Jazz2c656.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0513318.8%25 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb04f…057fbacked Jazz28c642.86$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012057.5%69 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Jazz22c642$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.421,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz20c637.44$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.682,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Jazz27c625$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7569929.8%208 W · 491 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae68…a807backed Jazz11c600$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68407.5%3 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Jazz26c599.96$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9924330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Jazz27c594.26$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4524634.1%84 W · 162 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Jazz28c538$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6444648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dae…f2f4backed Timberwolves74c519.58$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.