TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Cavaliers, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,571,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,691,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,571,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,537 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0140…9028backed Hawks31c88,000$27,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,419.744544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers68c55,683$37,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,879.7496447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers40c52,758$21,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,208.264,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Hawks37c49,949$18,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,464.5613455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hawks33c43,262$14,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,790.821,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Cavaliers67c40,000$26,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,80038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Cavaliers50c39,364$19,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,849.3226038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers69c37,396$25,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,803.2659653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Hawks33c30,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,10051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Cavaliers69c24,549$17,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,038.5337557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers70c19,300$13,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,423.483,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Cavaliers67c18,863$12,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,638.271,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks30c17,194$5,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,021.451,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Hawks64c17,064$10,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,089.447869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Cavaliers68c15,042$10,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,209.4411558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Hawks33c15,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,049.9672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Cavaliers63c13,344$8,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,451.94456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks34c11,655$4,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,653.612,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Cavaliers65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.9714853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Hawks47c9,999$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.462142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0630…d067backed Cavaliers63c9,564$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+63.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers45c9,350$4,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,216.761,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Cavaliers68c8,940$6,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,079.259646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks32c8,850$2,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,056.951,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1252…dec2backed Cavaliers68c8,500$5,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7804052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers68c7,991$5,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,433.5761851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers64c7,907$5,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,039.1969852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks49c7,673$3,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,879.615,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cavaliers47c7,298$3,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,441.1981529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers65c7,275$4,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,742.6292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e11…82a9backed Cavaliers40c7,262$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cavaliers64c7,058$4,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,485.2144459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Cavaliers69c7,000$4,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,83026637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Hawks31c6,627$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.2861835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Cavaliers62c6,600$4,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,122.9578445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Hawks65c6,584$4,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.4948046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed Cavaliers58c6,512$3,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,782.767259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Cavaliers66c6,504$4,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,280.6247751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers46c6,464$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.542,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawks48c6,409$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.881,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Cavaliers66c6,061$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Hawks51c6,059$3,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.1985344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Cavaliers45c5,728$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.371,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers67c5,469$3,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,638.194,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Cavaliers57c5,321$3,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.8638649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Cavaliers1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5064517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Hawks32c5,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40010041%41 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Cavaliers66c5,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3007339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Hawks30c5,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Cavaliers67c4,822$3,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,211.3476850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Cavaliers45c4,583$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.216744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Hawks33c4,518$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.1348944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Cavaliers68c4,296$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900.412,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Cavaliers64c4,258$2,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.31040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb322…2179backed Hawks31c4,226$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.814040%16 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers68c4,108$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,804.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hawks34c4,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6401,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Hawks50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00014856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Hawks48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca8…c951backed Hawks34c4,000$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.963026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Hawks38c4,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.891,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5cf…511dbacked Cavaliers69c3,951$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de6…24c8backed Hawks36c3,900$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,496250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c7b…dc0cbacked Cavaliers65c3,899$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdaa…8420backed Cavaliers31c3,713$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.651435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks35c3,645$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,367.082,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Hawks35c3,333$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.4528850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Hawks34c3,285$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.2936943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers63c3,096$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.192,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks35c3,050$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Cavaliers70c3,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Cavaliers69c3,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Hawks30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Cavaliers65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Hawks41c3,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.9619441.2%80 W · 114 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Hawks53c2,836$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.4522053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks41c2,760$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.91,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f4e…31cbbacked Hawks72c2,546$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.3916750.9%85 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31d…0586backed Cavaliers66c2,500$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6502133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x02fb…0a53backed Cavaliers48c2,434$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.14425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0b8…87c1backed Hawks60c2,382$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.91650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Hawks40c2,359$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.8147028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ee0…5233backed Cavaliers68c2,326$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.852040%8 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc25d…9411backed Hawks31c2,300$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9525…e50abacked Cavaliers66c2,286$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…46e6backed Hawks35c2,286$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks72c2,244$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.273,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Hawks37c2,174$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.621,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Hawks35c2,055$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.296636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Cavaliers68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36035547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Hawks57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.2220746.4%96 W · 111 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Cavaliers67c1,992$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.516659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hawks37c1,910$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.316844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee2e…f422backed Cavaliers67c1,871$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.314259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks43c1,870$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.465,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Cavaliers77c1,848$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42027152%141 W · 130 L-17.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Hawks33c1,818$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.1834942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Hawks45c1,800$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99028852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4635…9f6fbacked Hawks64c1,800$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6521553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hawks55c1,783$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.983,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.