NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0503d242a0f397741cef1ffe11b876697cde098e19caf7a4b1e2d59667cb4aae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Cavaliers, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hawks | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.98 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hawks | 48c | 19,900$9,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,348 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 14,872$7,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,733.25 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd860…aa2cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 6,865$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers | 51c | 6,769$3,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,452 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…9e65backed Cavaliers | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 46c | 4,759$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.72 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Cavaliers | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 3,758$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,511$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,421$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.71 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Hawks | 53c | 1,835$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.2 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…0d41backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,727$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,680$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,545$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.72 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,230$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.03 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 1,217$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.6 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,017$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.81 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,012$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Hawks | 52c | 1,006$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.97 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Hawks | 53c | 1,000$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.76 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Hawks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cavaliers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 47c | 762$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Cavaliers | 56c | 584.04$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.06 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Hawks | 52c | 518$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 514$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.28 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hawks | 48c | 506.52$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.92 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Cavaliers | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Cavaliers | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Cavaliers | 48c | 491$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.68 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 48c | 457.96$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Hawks | 46c | 441.3$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.3 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Hawks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Cavaliers | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 50c | 363$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cavaliers | 51c | 313.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.12 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…51d7backed Cavaliers | 54c | 220.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Hawks | 49c | 177.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Hawks | 44c | 167.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers | 55c | 164$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Hawks | 47c | 144$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cavaliers | 54c | 135.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.39 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…1f8fbacked Hawks | 53c | 115.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Cavaliers | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Cavaliers | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Hawks | 49c | 91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…32c2backed Cavaliers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Hawks | 46c | 87.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Hawks | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 78.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…806dbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 77.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 53c | 66.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19c9…2e09backed Hawks | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Hawks | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Hawks | 46c | 53.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Cavaliers | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Hawks | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cavaliers | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Hawks | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Hawks | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Cavaliers | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Cavaliers | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Hawks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Cavaliers | 55c | 35.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 35.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Hawks | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Cavaliers | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Hawks | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)this page
- Cavaliers vs. HawksHawks won
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.