NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10b839f970b99348774ad8dba5c80602187253fa6c2f2224a9bb13d0a60e11ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Bucks, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,613,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,736,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,613,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,014 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Hornets | 77c | 118,785$90,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,904.32 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bucks | 62c | 116,053$71,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,605.04 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 61c | 88,629$53,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,892.17 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Hornets | 39c | 65,593$25,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,148.49 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…3674backed Hornets | 44c | 60,000$26,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,799.96 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Hornets | 43c | 54,796$23,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,233.81 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Bucks | 58c | 52,500$30,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,317.99 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Hornets | 42c | 50,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,799.98 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets | 34c | 44,869$15,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,629.91 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Bucks | 56c | 44,836$25,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,108.14 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Hornets | 33c | 43,797$14,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,479.29 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Hornets | 36c | 40,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,599.93 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Hornets | 42c | 25,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,499.99 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e907backed Bucks | 58c | 25,000$14,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,380.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks | 0c | 24,494$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Bucks | 57c | 22,934$13,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,072.1 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 64c | 22,489$14,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,034.55 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Hornets | 34c | 21,579$7,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,227.41 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Hornets | 42c | 18,573$7,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,738.04 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks | 45c | 18,482$8,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,272.24 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets | 43c | 17,700$7,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,089 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Hornets | 43c | 17,430$7,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,935.23 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Bucks | 28c | 15,242$4,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210.6 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…5f6dbacked Bucks | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,049.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Hornets | 32c | 14,700$4,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,937.17 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Bucks | 68c | 14,604$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Bucks | 55c | 13,599$7,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,479.37 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Bucks | 22c | 13,000$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.77 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 65c | 12,962$8,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580.91 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Hornets | 43c | 12,425$5,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,058.92 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Bucks | 58c | 12,351$7,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,126.16 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Hornets | 38c | 11,474$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,087.92 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…15febacked Hornets | 33c | 10,408$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,973.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked Hornets | 43c | 10,300$4,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,871 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks | 40c | 9,642$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.59 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…18d5backed Bucks | 65c | 9,200$5,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,980 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 39c | 9,179$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,612.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Hornets | 67c | 9,025$6,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.33 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…1e3fbacked Bucks | 65c | 8,877$5,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,770.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Bucks | 63c | 8,850$5,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,560.19 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hornets | 56c | 8,401$4,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.98 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Bucks | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets | 42c | 7,884$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,533.6 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…7dc6backed Hornets | 43c | 7,175$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bucks | 51c | 7,029$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.1 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bucks | 6c | 7,018$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.1 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Hornets | 43c | 6,990$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,984.2 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 29c | 6,835$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Hornets | 42c | 6,803$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948.7 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Hornets | 41c | 6,781$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,984.45 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hornets | 44c | 6,605$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.84 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bucks | 56c | 6,464$3,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617.48 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hornets | 34c | 5,912$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.76 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Bucks | 59c | 5,750$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.82 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 60c | 5,651$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.69 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…20c0backed Bucks | 57c | 5,600$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Hornets | 44c | 5,400$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.99 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Hornets | 43c | 5,350$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.46 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Hornets | 33c | 5,303$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.03 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Hornets | 55c | 5,056$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.43 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Bucks | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hornets | 43c | 4,950$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…cde3backed Hornets | 74c | 4,335$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…2f1fbacked Bucks | 64c | 4,216$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Bucks | 53c | 4,100$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks | 0c | 4,050$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Bucks | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Bucks | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Hornets | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Bucks | 0c | 3,892$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3b…93d2backed Bucks | 56c | 3,791$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Hornets | 39c | 3,750$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.9 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets | 69c | 3,626$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.94 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Hornets | 41c | 3,500$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.99 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Hornets | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.37 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 39c | 3,387$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.77 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bucks | 66c | 3,333$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.78 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Hornets | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Hornets | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Hornets | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Hornets | 32c | 2,997$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.89 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Bucks | 34c | 2,949$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Bucks | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…0aa5backed Bucks | 58c | 2,818$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.65 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Hornets | 33c | 2,812$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Bucks | 29c | 2,799$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.56 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…e50ebacked Bucks | 49c | 2,692$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4229backed Bucks | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…d82bbacked Bucks | 57c | 2,456$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Bucks | 34c | 2,379$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -62%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Bucks | 61c | 2,324$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.37 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…021fbacked Bucks | 68c | 2,191$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Bucks | 44c | 2,106$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.03 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Hornets | 42c | 2,088$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.89 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bucks | 58c | 2,069$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Bucks | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Hornets | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.92 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 69c | 1,948$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.38 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Hornetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Hornets won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Bucks (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Bucks (-6.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.